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State Forecast Discussion

FXUS61 KPBZ 200043
AFDPBZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
843 PM EDT Thu Apr 19 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Dry weather is expected through early next week along with more
seasonal temperatures.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
Only cosmetic changes were made with the 8:30pm forecast
update.

Dry conditions expected through the night as high pressure
builds back in over the the area. Latest soundings indicate
lower levels to remain mixed overnight...so expect gusty winds
to be maintained for much of the night.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Friday and Saturday will be cool days of improvement as surface
high pressure builds under cold northwest flow. Expect highs
for those days 10 to 15 degrees under the averages respectively.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Ridging will continue to build over the forecast area through
early next week...maintaining dry conditions and a warming trend
in temperatures.

There is still below average model consensus in regards to
timing the arrival of a southern stream low and it's eventual phasing
with a northern stream system. Minor adjustments in timing were
largely made using latest ensemble guidance.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A brief MVFR ceiling cannot be ruled out at FKL/DUJ where clouds
are expected to hold on for most of the night. Elsewhere, skies
should scatter out with wind gusts decreasing.

OUTLOOK...General VFR may then be anticipated through early next
week as high pressure builds.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...None.
OH...None.
PA...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$