Atmospheric Precipitation Processes

ATM 509 - Fall 2008


Instructor: Dr. Lance F. Bosart

Class: TTh 2:45 - 4:05 pm - ES232

Course Information and Outline

 


Class References

    Forecast Verification

Bosart, L. F., 1975: SUNYA Experimental Results in Forecasting Daily Temperature and Precipitation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 103, 1013-1020. - PDF

Davis, C., B. Brown, and R. Bullock, 2006: Object-Based Verification of Precipitation Forecasts. Part I: Methodology and Application to Mesoscale Rain Areas. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 1772-1784. - PDF

Davis, C., B. Brown, and R. Bullock, 2006: Object-Based Verification of Precipitation Forecasts. Part II: Application to Convective Rain Systems. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 1785-1795. - PDF

Ebert, E. E., U. Damrath, W. Wergen, and M. E. Baldwin, 2003: The WGNE Assessment of Short-term Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts.  Bull. Amer Meteor. Soc., 84, 481-492. - PDF

Ebert, E. E., U. Damrath, W. Wergen, and M. E. Baldwin, 2003: Supplement to the WGNE Assessment of Short-term Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts.  Bull. Amer Meteor. Soc., 84, 492. - PDF

Sanders, F., 1963: On Subjective Probability Forecasting.  J. Appl. Meteor., 2, 191-201. - PDF

Weisman, M. L., C. Davis, W. Wang, K. W. Manning, and J. B. Klemp, 2008: Experiences with 0-36-h Explicit Convective Forecasts with the WRF-ARW Model. Wea. Forecasting., 23, 407-437. - PDF

 

Links

Forecast Verification - Updated 09/09/08

Forecast Verification: Anomaly Correlation Coefficient (ACC)

Forecast Skill Matrix (Courtesy: APEC Climate Center)

HPC Verification Page

Supercells and Tornadoes in Hurricane Ivan: 15-16 September 2004

Florida rainfall: Fay (2008) vs. Dora (1964)

Selected KTLH base reflectivity/velocity images and surface data plots from TS Fay: 1800-2000 UTC 23 August 2008

Tropical Storm Fay rainfall maps (Courtesy: David Roth at NOAA/NCEP/HPC)

    Overall graphic        Area around Florida        Area around the southern Appalachians

Hurricane Gustav:    Combined radar/surface/loop for 1830 UTC 31 August through 1730 UTC 2 September 2008 (Courtesy: Jay Cordeira)

                               72-hr water vapor loop for 1145 UTC 30 August through 1145 UTC 2 September 2008 (Courtesy: RAP/UCAR)

SPC Storm Reports for Hurricane Gustav:    09/01/08    09/02/08

 

Questions or comments?  Email

Last updated: 9 September 2008