Atmospheric Precipitation Processes
ATM 509 - Fall 2008

Instructor: Dr. Lance F. Bosart
Class: TTh 2:45 - 4:05 pm - ES232
Course Information and Outline
Class References
Forecast Verification
Bosart, L. F., 1975: SUNYA Experimental Results in Forecasting Daily Temperature and Precipitation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 103, 1013-1020. - PDF
Davis, C., B. Brown, and R. Bullock, 2006: Object-Based Verification of Precipitation Forecasts. Part I: Methodology and Application to Mesoscale Rain Areas. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 1772-1784. - PDF
Davis, C., B. Brown, and R. Bullock, 2006: Object-Based Verification of Precipitation Forecasts. Part II: Application to Convective Rain Systems. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 1785-1795. - PDF
Ebert, E. E., U. Damrath, W. Wergen, and M. E. Baldwin, 2003: The WGNE Assessment of Short-term Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts. Bull. Amer Meteor. Soc., 84, 481-492. - PDF
Ebert, E. E., U. Damrath, W. Wergen, and M. E. Baldwin, 2003: Supplement to the WGNE Assessment of Short-term Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts. Bull. Amer Meteor. Soc., 84, 492. - PDF
Sanders, F., 1963: On Subjective Probability Forecasting. J. Appl. Meteor., 2, 191-201. - PDF
Weisman, M. L., C. Davis, W. Wang, K. W. Manning, and J. B. Klemp, 2008: Experiences with 0-36-h Explicit Convective Forecasts with the WRF-ARW Model. Wea. Forecasting., 23, 407-437. - PDF
Links
Forecast Verification - Updated 09/09/08
Forecast Verification: Anomaly Correlation Coefficient (ACC)
Forecast Skill Matrix (Courtesy: APEC Climate Center)
Supercells and Tornadoes in Hurricane Ivan: 15-16 September 2004
Florida rainfall: Fay (2008) vs. Dora (1964)
Tropical Storm Fay rainfall maps (Courtesy: David Roth at NOAA/NCEP/HPC)
Overall graphic Area around Florida Area around the southern Appalachians
Hurricane Gustav: Combined radar/surface/loop for 1830 UTC 31 August through 1730 UTC 2 September 2008 (Courtesy: Jay Cordeira)
72-hr water vapor loop for 1145 UTC 30 August through 1145 UTC 2 September 2008 (Courtesy: RAP/UCAR)
SPC Storm Reports for Hurricane Gustav: 09/01/08 09/02/08
Questions or comments? Email
Last updated: 9 September 2008