The large number of radial flights legs flown into Elena over two and a half days make it possible to examine the changes in storm structure that occur as a storm intensifies into a strong category three hurricane and then weakens. The graph below is a time series of the best track maximum tangential winds (triangles, solid line, right scale) and minimum surface pressure (circles, dotted line, left scale) during Elena’s evolution. The gray horizontal lines denote the Saffir-Simpson hurricane strength categories. The red vertical lines and numbers show the five time periods that the data was divided into for compositing, and the red shaded rectangle represents a time of no flight data.
The composite of flights 1-28 represent Elena as a disorganized
category two
hurricane that was slowly intensifying or steady. Flights
29-48 capture the beginning of the rapid deepening of
Elena and flights 49-62 are the middle of rapid deepening.
Elena at its peak intensity as a very strong
category three storm is captured by flights 63-76.
Finally, Elena begins to weaken, according to the best track
data
set, during flights 77-86.
In order to composite the flight level variables on a single meaningful radius without the smearing of details that comes from straight radius composites, the inner edge of the eyewall was chosen to composite on. In each flight leg this radius was determined to be the distance from the eye where the tangential wind speed stopped increasing rapidly with increasing radius. This technique is shown in two examples below.
As can be seen above, the radius for composite (RC) and the radius of maximum wind (RMW) are not always the same. This is primarily the case for early flight legs and the composites of flights 1-28 and 29-48 due to outer wind maxima and little to no well-defined eyewall. Examining how the RC and the RMW change with time, we can see below that the RC has a much smoother variation, and thus will be our chosen radius for all composites.
The height of the
850-hPa surface showed a linear increase
with increasingly radius when Elena was steady and at the
beginning of intensification. As Elena continued to strengthen, height falls occurred
at all radii, but rapid falls
occurred only within 20 km of the RMU.
In the last time period, heights rose at all
radii as Elena began to weaken.
In the figures below, line graph composites of
various
reconnaissance flight variables will be shown.
Each graph will have five lines, each representing one of the
composite
time periods detailed above. The
composites are shown with respect to the inner edge of the eyewall as
discussed
above and expressed as distances away from that radius.
Only the area –18 to + 60 km from the
compositing radius will be shown as these distances approximately
represent the
radii where data coverage fell below 75%.
The compositing radius will be referred to below as the radius
of maximum
updraft or RMU. The reason for this
will become clear shortly.
Changes to the tangential wind
profile of Elena include: winds decreasing in the core (-6 to –18 km
from the RMU), winds increasing –6 to 24 km from the RMU, and little
change to the winds outside of 24 km from the RMU.
Two discrepancies between the flight level and best
track data show up: winds weaken slightly between time periods 1 and 2
even as the best track data shows intensification and, the flight level
winds are higher in the final time period when the best track shows
Elena to be weakening.
While the values of relative
vorticity increase steadily in magnitude during time periods 1-3, the
core of Elena is in a state of solid body rotation with a small peak
just inside the RMU. The transition
between periods 3 and 4 is dramatic with a suppression of high
vorticity values in the core, and a sharp rise just inside the RMU to
60 x 10-4 s-1. As
Elena begins to weaken, values decrease near the RMU and rise to their
highest levels in the core.
At 850 hPa Elena is dominated by
outflow at all times and radii, except for at its peak intensity. Only at that time is inflow seen to reach the
RMU. As Elena begins to weaken a sharp
reversal in radial wind speed occurs and a peak in outflow is seen at
the RMU. Considering the strong upward
motion in the figure below, inflow must be confined to below the
850-hPa level.
During the steady and
intensification time periods in Elena, temperatures rose all at radii
with maximum values in the storm core. At
peak intensity and the beginning of weakening, peak values moved
radially outward to -8 km from the RMU. Temperatures
also decreased during these two time periods at all radii greater than
–4 km from the RMU.
Dew points in Elena
rose at all radii during intensification (time periods 1-3), with
maximum values inside –6 km from the RMU. At
peak intensity, the maximum dew point moved radially outward to near
the RMU. During the last time period, the
maximum returns to the eye and values decrease everywhere outside –6 km
from the RMU.
During the
intensification of Elena, values of theta e increase at all radii, with
peak values within or very near the storm core. At
peak intensity, the largest values of theta e are found just inside the
RMU, but the peak returns to the eye during the weakening stage. Values of theta e decrease in the last two
time periods near and outside the RMU to increase the radial gradient
of theta e.
Interestingly, the
radial gradient of theta e is a maximum within 3 km of the RMU during
all time periods, attaining maximum value during the “weakening” time
period. This result lends evidence to the
idea of the eyewall as a front and the intensification process as a
frontal collapse (Emanuel 1993).