starting weather Sun Nov 19 23:03:00 GMT 2006 KGJT 191153Z AUTO 09007KT 10SM CLR 01/M04 A3046 RMK AO2 SLP310 T00061039 10039 21017 51010= KGJT 191253Z 19003KT 10SM CLR 01/M04 A3048 RMK AO2 SLP318 T00061039= KGJT 191353Z 10004KT 10SM CLR M01/M04 A3050 RMK AO2 SLP334 T10061044= KGJT 191453Z 14009KT 10SM CLR 01/M04 A3052 RMK AO2 SLP338 T00061039 51018= KGJT 191553Z 15010KT 10SM CLR 04/M03 A3053 RMK AO2 SLP336 T00391028= KGJT 191653Z 12013KT 10SM CLR 06/M03 A3053 RMK AO2 SLP337 T00611033= KGJT 191753Z 11011KT 10SM CLR 08/M04 A3052 RMK AO2 SLP330 T00831039 10083 21022 58001= KGJT 191853Z 10015KT 10SM CLR 10/M04 A3047 RMK AO2 SLP309 T01001039= KGJT 191953Z 11013KT 10SM CLR 11/M04 A3044 RMK AO2 SLP297 T01111044= KGJT 192053Z 11008KT 10SM CLR 12/M05 A3040 RMK AO2 SLP286 T01171050 56034= KGJT 192153Z 16007KT 10SM CLR 13/M05 A3039 RMK AO2 SLP278 T01281050= KGJT 192253Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 13/M06 A3039 RMK AO2 SLP282 T01281061= KGJT GFS MOS GUIDANCE 11/19/2006 1200 UTC DT /NOV 19/NOV 20 /NOV 21 /NOV 22 HR 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 06 12 N/X 29 53 29 57 29 TMP 45 51 48 37 35 34 32 32 44 51 48 39 37 34 32 35 48 55 52 37 33 DPT 27 25 25 24 24 23 23 22 25 25 26 22 21 21 20 21 23 23 23 22 21 CLD CL CL SC SC SC SC SC SC CL CL CL SC CL CL SC CL CL CL CL SC FW WDR 15 21 34 08 10 11 11 12 14 18 27 06 10 11 11 11 15 16 24 10 11 WSP 07 02 02 03 05 09 08 07 05 02 04 04 06 08 08 06 05 03 04 06 06 P06 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 P12 0 1 2 2 1 Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Q12 0 0 0 0 0 T06 0/ 0 0/ 0 0/ 0 0/ 0 0/ 0 0/ 0 0/ 0 0/ 0 0/ 0 0/ 0 T12 0/ 0 0/ 0 0/ 0 0/ 0 0/ 0 POZ 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 POS 56 37 38 33 39 37 42 48 11 9 18 27 30 34 35 20 0 8 12 27 29 TYP S R R R R R R S R R R R R R R R R R R R R SNW 0 0 0 CIG 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 VIS 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 OBV N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N KGJT GFS MOS GUIDANCE 11/19/2006 1800 UTC DT /NOV 20 /NOV 21 /NOV 22 HR 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 12 18 N/X 30 54 29 56 29 TMP 50 39 38 36 34 31 44 52 49 39 36 35 33 35 48 55 52 41 37 33 49 DPT 23 21 21 21 21 20 22 23 24 22 22 21 21 22 23 23 24 23 22 21 24 CLD SC SC SC CL SC SC CL CL SC SC CL CL CL CL CL CL CL SC FW CL SC WDR 12 11 10 11 11 12 14 19 30 08 11 11 11 12 14 17 27 06 11 11 15 WSP 06 05 05 09 08 07 05 02 04 04 06 08 09 05 05 03 04 05 06 06 04 P06 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 P12 0 1 1 1 1 Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Q12 0 0 0 0 0 T06 0/ 4 0/ 0 0/ 0 0/ 0 0/ 2 0/ 0 0/ 0 0/ 4 0/ 0 0/ 0 T12 0/ 0 0/ 2 0/ 0 0/ 4 0/ 0 POZ 0 0 4 7 3 1 0 1 0 0 1 4 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 POS 18 19 19 22 39 53 12 18 21 37 27 29 35 52 12 0 19 25 27 38 13 TYP R R R R R S R R R R R R R S R R R R R R R SNW 0 0 CIG 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 VIS 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 OBV N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N Station: GJT Lat: 39.12 Lon:-108.52 Elev:1475 Closest grid pt: 39.3 km. Initialization Time: 06-11-19 1200 UTC HOUR VALID T2MC PMSL HT500 HTANOM THCK TMP850 1000WD P06 ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ 000 19/12 -3 1034 580 12 552 1 08/007 006 19/18 7 1030 582 14 557 8 10/004 0.00 012 20/00 1 1027 582 14 559 10 10/004 0.00 018 20/06 -1 1030 583 16 557 3 12/007 0.00 024 20/12 -2 1031 583 15 557 2 12/006 0.00 030 20/18 8 1025 583 15 562 10 18/004 0.00 036 21/00 2 1024 582 14 561 12 18/003 0.00 042 21/06 0 1027 582 14 558 4 13/006 0.00 048 21/12 -1 1026 579 12 557 3 13/006 0.00 054 21/18 9 1022 579 12 561 11 19/005 0.00 060 22/00 4 1021 577 10 559 12 19/006 0.00 066 22/06 0 1024 576 9 556 5 13/007 0.00 072 22/12 -1 1024 575 7 555 4 14/006 0.00 078 22/18 9 1021 575 8 558 11 19/006 0.00 084 23/00 4 1018 572 5 557 11 20/006 0.00 090 23/06 2 1020 572 4 555 6 15/007 0.00 096 23/12 1 1019 569 2 553 6 17/005 0.00 102 23/18 7 1020 570 3 553 9 28/004 0.00 108 24/00 2 1022 569 2 551 7 35/006 0.00 114 24/06 -3 1027 570 2 547 2 03/005 0.00 120 24/12 -4 1026 569 2 546 1 05/004 0.00 126 24/18 6 1021 569 2 551 7 23/003 0.00 132 25/00 -2 1019 568 1 552 8 28/004 0.00 138 25/06 -3 1022 567 0 548 4 17/004 0.00 144 25/12 -5 1023 565 -2 545 2 13/004 0.00 150 25/18 6 1020 566 -1 549 7 23/003 0.00 156 26/00 -3 1019 567 0 551 9 29/003 0.00 162 26/06 -4 1021 568 1 550 6 14/003 0.00 168 26/12 -5 1022 567 1 549 2 14/005 0.00 174 26/18 6 1016 567 0 553 8 20/004 0.00 180 27/00 -2 1012 563 -4 553 9 22/005 0.00 Station: GJT Lat: 39.12 Lon:-108.52 Elev:1475 Closest grid pt: 39.3 km. Initialization Time: 06-11-19 1800 UTC HOUR VALID T2MC PMSL HT500 HTANOM THCK TMP850 1000WD P06 ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ 000 19/18 7 1031 583 16 557 8 14/003 006 20/00 1 1027 582 14 559 9 09/004 0.00 012 20/06 -1 1030 583 15 557 3 12/006 0.00 018 20/12 -2 1031 583 15 557 2 13/006 0.00 024 20/18 8 1026 584 16 561 10 18/003 0.00 030 21/00 2 1024 582 14 561 12 18/003 0.00 036 21/06 -1 1028 582 14 558 4 13/006 0.00 042 21/12 -2 1027 580 13 558 3 13/006 0.00 048 21/18 9 1023 580 13 561 11 18/005 0.00 054 22/00 3 1022 578 11 560 12 20/005 0.00 060 22/06 0 1025 578 10 556 5 13/007 0.00 066 22/12 -1 1025 576 9 555 4 13/006 0.00 072 22/18 9 1022 576 9 558 11 19/005 0.00 078 23/00 3 1020 574 7 557 12 21/005 0.00 084 23/06 1 1021 572 5 554 5 14/007 0.00 090 23/12 -1 1019 569 2 553 5 14/006 0.00 096 23/18 8 1015 567 0 555 11 21/009 0.00 102 24/00 3 1017 564 -3 549 8 28/007 0.00 108 24/06 -2 1029 564 -3 540 2 35/004 0.02 114 24/12 -5 1032 566 -1 539 -2 03/005 0.00 120 24/18 2 1029 569 2 544 2 05/003 0.00 126 25/00 -5 1023 568 2 548 6 02/002 0.00 132 25/06 -5 1026 569 2 547 2 15/004 0.00 138 25/12 -6 1025 566 -1 545 0 15/004 0.00 144 25/18 4 1021 567 0 549 6 23/002 0.00 150 26/00 -3 1019 565 -2 549 7 27/003 0.00 156 26/06 -6 1022 566 -1 547 4 19/003 0.00 162 26/12 -6 1022 566 -1 547 1 14/005 0.00 168 26/18 5 1017 567 0 552 7 20/004 0.00 174 27/00 -3 1014 565 -2 553 8 22/005 0.00 180 27/06 -4 1 16/006 Station: GJT Lat: 39.12 Lon:-108.52 Elev:1475 Closest grid pt:118.4 km. Initialization Time: 06-11-19 1200 UTC PARAMETER/TIME 000 006 012 018 024 030 036 042 048 054 060 066 072 ------------------------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ DAY / HOUR 19/12 19/18 20/00 20/06 20/12 20/18 21/00 21/06 21/12 21/18 22/00 22/06 22/12 ------------------------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ TEMPS SFC (2 M) (F) 850 MB (C) 4 5 6 4 1 9 10 6 5 9 10 7 6 700 MB (C) 0 1 3 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 500 MB (C) -14 -14 -13 -13 -12 -11 -11 -11 -11 -13 -13 -14 -15 1000-500 THCK 552 555 557 555 559 563 563 562 557 560 560 559 556 MOISTURE SFC (2M) DP (F) 850 MB DP/RH -4/58 -1/64 -2/58 -3/63 -5/63 1/57 2/59 -1/62 -2/63 2/58 -1/62 700 MB DP/RH -18/26 -24/13 -24/12 -25/10 -24/11 -21/15 -17/20 -18/19 -16/22 -12/33 -13/34 500 MB DP/RH -38/11 -29/29 -24/42 -22/47 -19/56 -27/27 -27/24 -29/21 -31/18 -31/20 -27/36 CONV PRECIP (IN) 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 TOTAL PRECIP (IN) 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 WIND DD/FFF (Kts) 10 M 850 MB 08/005 12/004 12/003 13/004 15/005 18/006 18/006 16/006 17/007 19/008 20/007 18/007 18/006 700 MB 03/004 18/004 22/010 23/012 23/013 22/017 23/019 23/020 23/021 23/022 23/020 500 MB 33/028 32/027 33/023 31/022 29/017 26/021 25/025 25/031 25/040 24/034 25/042 25/037 23/036 250 MB 34/078 34/069 34/052 33/038 29/028 26/030 26/051 25/052 25/053 24/049 24/058 25/068 25/057 VERTICAL VEL (uB/S) 850 MB -10 0 -4 -17 -15 -1 -7 -15 -15 -6 -16 700 MB -13 -9 -6 -1 2 9 3 6 7 4 6 500 MB -19 -9 -10 -3 -18 -3 -6 -13 -9 -11 -13 OTHER TROP PRES (MB) 182 171 165 163 156 151 156 163 160 166 175 MSL PRES (MB) 1033 1032 1030 1034 1029 1024 1023 1027 1026 1020 1019 1023 1023 500 MB HGT (DM) 580 582 582 583 584 583 582 583 580 578 577 579 576 500 MB ABS VORT 5.8 6.7 6.5 4.9 4.4 4.4 6.3 4.4 5.9 6.5 7.7 Station: GJT Lat: 39.12 Lon:-108.52 Elev:1475 Closest grid pt:118.4 km. Initialization Time: 06-11-19 1800 UTC PARAMETER/TIME 000 006 012 018 024 030 036 042 048 054 060 066 072 ------------------------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ DAY / HOUR 19/18 20/00 20/06 20/12 20/18 21/00 21/06 21/12 21/18 22/00 22/06 22/12 22/18 ------------------------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ TEMPS SFC (2 M) (F) 850 MB (C) 9 9 5 4 10 9 6 5 11 6 11 700 MB (C) 1 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 500 MB (C) -14 -14 -12 -11 -11 -11 -11 -11 -12 -13 -15 1000-500 THCK 557 559 557 558 561 561 559 558 561 557 558 MOISTURE SFC (2M) DP (F) 850 MB DP/RH 2/64 2/58 -2/63 -2/64 2/58 2/60 -1/61 -2/62 1/52 -1/60 0/48 700 MB DP/RH -22/16 -20/17 -20/17 -20/16 -18/19 -15/24 -15/25 -15/26 -13/29 -10/39 -12/35 500 MB DP/RH -27/32 -22/50 -22/46 -20/48 -21/42 -27/25 -30/20 -30/20 -32/16 -29/25 -25/41 CONV PRECIP (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 TOTAL PRECIP (IN) 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 WIND DD/FFF (Kts) 10 M 850 MB 18/004 16/004 15/005 16/006 17/005 17/006 16/005 16/006 18/006 17/005 19/006 700 MB 20/006 22/010 23/012 23/014 23/017 23/018 23/020 23/019 22/022 23/019 22/019 500 MB 32/026 32/024 31/022 29/020 27/026 26/032 26/034 25/037 24/040 24/040 24/038 250 MB 34/071 34/054 33/038 30/032 27/032 26/042 26/048 25/054 25/051 24/056 24/057 VERTICAL VEL (uB/S) 850 MB 8 -4 -17 -14 -1 -6 -16 -15 -1 -15 2 700 MB -3 -7 -1 3 10 4 5 6 7 6 8 500 MB -2 -15 -4 -15 -6 -8 -11 -14 -7 -17 -7 OTHER TROP PRES (MB) 173 165 160 149 156 149 161 159 163 162 176 MSL PRES (MB) 1031 1027 1030 1030 1025 1023 1026 1026 1022 1024 1021 500 MB HGT (DM) 583 581 583 583 583 581 582 580 580 577 576 500 MB ABS VORT 6.4 6.0 5.8 4.8 4.5 5.3 3.9 6.0 5.6 6.7 6.9 KGJT ETA MOS GUIDANCE 11/19/2006 1200 UTC DT /NOV 19/NOV 20 /NOV 21 /NOV 22 HR 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 06 12 N/X 35 61 33 61 34 TMP 50 57 55 44 42 40 39 39 52 58 56 44 41 40 38 38 51 58 55 40 37 DPT 24 23 24 25 25 25 24 25 27 26 26 25 23 24 23 23 26 25 25 30 30 CLD CL CL SC BK BK SC BK BK SC CL CL SC CL CL SC SC SC SC SC SC BK WDR 15 16 19 06 12 13 12 12 14 23 21 09 11 12 11 12 15 19 21 13 11 WSP 10 03 04 05 10 15 14 17 10 07 06 10 13 16 13 14 13 12 07 15 12 P06 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 P12 0 1 0 3 1 Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Q12 0 0 0 0 0 T06 1/ 0 0/ 0 0/ 0 0/ 0 0/ 0 0/ 1 0/ 0 0/ 0 0/ 0999/99 T12 1/ 0 0/ 0 1/ 1 0/ 0 999/99 SNW 0 0 0 CIG 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 VIS 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 OBV N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N Station: GJT Lat: 39.12 Lon:-108.52 Elev:1475 Closest grid pt: 10.3 km. Initialization Time: 06-11-19 1200 UTC HOUR VALID T2MF DP2M PMSL HT500 THCK TMP850 10M WD POP03 P03 ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ 000 19/12 35 26 1032 580 556 4 10/004 003 19/15 35 26 1033 582 557 4 09/004 0 0.00 006 19/18 45 28 1031 583 560 7 09/005 0 0.00 009 19/21 50 30 1028 584 563 10 08/004 0 0.00 012 20/00 46 31 1026 582 563 9 07/004 0 0.00 015 20/03 42 29 1027 583 562 8 08/004 0 0.00 018 20/06 42 28 1028 583 562 7 10/003 0 0.00 021 20/09 43 27 1028 584 563 9 11/002 0 0.00 024 20/12 41 25 1028 584 563 8 11/003 0 0.00 027 20/15 42 22 1028 584 563 8 12/003 0 0.00 030 20/18 53 27 1026 584 566 12 22/003 0 0.00 033 20/21 58 28 1023 584 567 15 25/004 0 0.00 036 21/00 54 28 1023 584 567 14 10/002 0 0.00 039 21/03 50 27 1023 584 567 12 15/005 0 0.00 042 21/06 47 24 1024 583 566 11 16/005 0 0.00 045 21/09 45 22 1024 583 566 10 14/004 0 0.00 048 21/12 43 22 1023 582 566 10 14/004 0 0.00 051 21/15 44 22 1024 582 565 9 15/003 0 0.00 054 21/18 54 26 1022 582 567 13 24/003 0 0.00 057 21/21 59 27 1018 581 568 16 24/004 0 0.00 060 22/00 55 29 1017 580 568 15 19/003 0 0.00 063 22/03 52 24 1019 580 566 13 19/007 0 0.00 066 22/06 49 21 1020 579 565 12 19/006 0 0.00 069 22/09 47 20 1021 579 564 12 18/005 0 0.00 072 22/12 46 20 1021 578 563 11 17/005 0 0.00 075 22/15 46 20 1023 578 562 10 17/005 0 0.00 078 22/18 56 26 1021 579 564 14 21/004 0 0.00 081 22/21 59 29 1017 578 565 16 23/004 0 0.00 084 23/00 56 29 1016 577 565 15 19/004 0 0.00 Station: GJT Lat: 39.12 Lon:-108.52 Elev:1475 Closest grid pt: 10.3 km. Initialization Time: 06-11-19 1800 UTC HOUR VALID T2MF DP2M PMSL HT500 THCK TMP850 10M WD POP03 P03 ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ 000 19/18 44 29 1032 584 560 7 08/006 003 19/21 50 29 1028 584 562 10 07/003 0 0.00 006 20/00 45 29 1027 583 563 9 07/003 0 0.00 009 20/03 42 28 1029 584 562 8 08/004 0 0.00 012 20/06 40 25 1029 584 563 7 09/003 0 0.00 015 20/09 41 25 1030 585 563 8 12/003 0 0.00 018 20/12 40 23 1030 585 563 7 12/002 0 0.00 021 20/15 40 21 1030 585 562 7 11/003 0 0.00 024 20/18 51 26 1027 585 565 11 23/001 0 0.00 027 20/21 56 28 1024 584 566 14 27/002 0 0.00 030 21/00 51 29 1024 584 566 13 09/003 0 0.00 033 21/03 48 28 1025 584 566 11 14/004 0 0.00 036 21/06 47 23 1025 584 566 11 15/004 0 0.00 039 21/09 45 21 1025 584 566 10 14/004 0 0.00 042 21/12 43 21 1025 583 565 9 14/004 0 0.00 045 21/15 44 22 1025 583 565 9 15/003 0 0.00 048 21/18 54 26 1022 582 566 13 23/002 0 0.00 051 21/21 58 28 1019 581 567 15 25/003 0.00 054 22/00 54 29 1018 580 567 14 15/002 0.00 057 22/03 51 26 1020 580 566 13 18/007 0.00 060 22/06 49 20 1021 580 565 12 18/006 0.00 063 22/09 47 20 1021 579 564 11 17/005 0.00 066 22/12 46 20 1021 578 564 11 17/005 0.00 069 22/15 46 20 1023 579 563 10 18/004 0.00 072 22/18 55 25 1021 579 564 13 22/004 0.00 075 22/21 59 28 1017 578 566 15 23/004 0.00 078 23/00 55 29 1015 576 566 15 15/003 0.00 081 23/03 51 27 1017 576 564 13 18/007 0.00 084 23/06 50 23 1017 575 564 13 17/007 0.00 Station: GJT Lat: 39.12 Lon:-108.52 Elev:1475 Closest grid pt: 26.5 km. Initialization Time: 06-11-19 1200 UTC PARAMETER/TIME 000 006 012 018 024 030 036 042 048 054 060 ------------------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ DAY / HOUR 19/12 19/18 20/00 20/06 20/12 20/18 21/00 21/06 21/12 21/18 22/00 ------------------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ TEMPS 2 M (F) 850 MB (C) 5 8 9 9 8 10 11 10 9 11 12 700 MB (C) 0 2 3 4 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 500 MB (C) -14 -14 -14 -15 -12 -11 -11 -11 -12 -12 -12 1000-500 THCK 554 558 561 560 560 563 564 563 562 563 565 MOISTURE 2 M DEW POINT (F) 850 MB DP(C)/RH -1/66 0/57 1/54 -4/42 -3/45 0/50 1/50 -1/46 -2/45 0/49 1/46 700 MB DP(C)/RH -23/15 -26/10 -26/10 -22/14 -19/18 -16/23 -13/29 -15/25 -15/25 -16/23 -14/27 500 MB DP(C)/RH -51/03 -32/21 -21/55 -20/66 -17/69 -27/25 -32/16 -33/16 -33/16 -33/15 -38/10 PRCPABLE WTR (IN) CONV PRECIP (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6HR TOTAL PRECIP 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12HR TOTAL PRECIP 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 WIND DD/FFF (Kts) 10 M 850 MB 07/004 07/002 08/001 15/002 16/003 20/006 18/004 17/004 16/004 20/006 18/005 700 MB 03/008 11/005 20/010 23/014 23/019 23/021 24/019 23/018 22/023 23/028 23/024 500 MB 34/027 31/026 32/025 29/025 31/020 26/029 28/038 27/034 25/037 24/046 24/050 250 MB 33/080 34/077 35/061 32/041 30/038 27/045 26/049 26/055 26/054 25/052 25/055 PRESS/HEIGHTS MSL PRESSURE 1032.3 1031.0 1026.2 1028.6 1028.9 1026.2 1023.1 1024.5 1024.2 1022.1 1017.8 850 MB HGT 161 162 159 160 160 159 158 158 157 157 154 700 MB HGT 317 319 318 319 318 318 317 317 316 316 314 500 MB HGT 580 583 582 583 584 584 584 583 582 582 580 250 MB HGT 1064 1070 1073 1075 1077 1078 1076 1075 1072 1072 1069 VERTICAL VEL (uB/S) 850 MB -18 6 -7 -8 -14 4 -10 -14 -16 -1 -12 700 MB -29 -15 -9 -18 -24 -28 -27 -28 -38 -28 -27 500 MB -56 6 10 -10 -21 0 -7 -19 -13 5 -21 CONVECTION PARAMS LIFT INX SFC LIFT INX 4LYR CAPE SFC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CAPE 4LYR CIN SFC -12 3 17 -18 -12 21 24 -18 -11 3 1 CIN 4LYR HELICITY (0-3 KM) GJT SCW NGM MOS GUIDANCE 11/19/06 1200 UTC DAY /NOV 19 /NOV 20 /NOV 21 / HOUR 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 MN/MX 34 59 32 59 TEMP 49 56 54 43 41 39 37 38 50 57 54 43 41 38 35 36 50 58 54 DEWPT 25 23 23 24 25 24 24 26 29 29 29 27 25 24 23 25 29 28 28 CLDS CL SC SC CL CL CL CL SC CL CL CL CL CL CL CL SC CL SC SC WDIR 11 24 34 09 11 12 12 12 16 29 30 08 10 12 12 13 18 23 26 WSPD 03 03 01 03 07 07 04 07 04 04 03 04 08 10 11 10 10 09 07 POP06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 POP12 0 0 0 0 QPF 0/ 0/ 0/0 0/ 0/0 0/ 0/0 0/ 0/0 TSV06 0/11 0/ 4 0/ 4 0/ 1 0/ 3 0/ 3 0/ 1 0/ 0 1/13 TSV12 0/12 0/ 4 1/ 5 1/ 2 PTYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R POZP 1 1 1 3 2 4 3 2 1 1 1 4 4 1 1 POSN 8 2 0 2 1 1 2 6 0 0 0 4 0 3 4 SNOW 0/ 0/ 0/0 0/ 0/0 0/ 0/0 0/ 0/0 CIG 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 VIS 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 OBVIS N N N N N N N N N N N N N Station: GJT Lat: 39.12 Lon:-108.52 Elev:1475 Closest grid pt: 26.5 km. Initialization Time: 06-11-19 1200 UTC PARAMETER/TIME 000 006 012 018 024 030 036 042 048 ------------------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ DAY / HOUR 19/12 19/18 20/00 20/06 20/12 20/18 21/00 21/06 21/12 ------------------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ TEMPS 1000 MB (C) 16 18 22 23 21 19 23 21 16 850 MB (C) 7 9 14 14 12 10 14 12 7 700 MB (C) 0 3 4 3 3 2 3 2 1 500 MB (C) -14 -14 -14 -14 -12 -11 -10 -12 -12 1000-500 THCK 5562 5591 5624 5630 5631 5622 5649 5633 5596 MOISTURE 1000 MB DP(C)/RH 7/54 1/32 -1/21 3/27 7/39 10/58 9/41 10/51 14/89 850 MB DP(C)/RH -2/54 -7/32 -8/21 -5/27 -1/39 2/58 1/41 2/51 5/89 700 MB DP(C)/RH -21/20 -33/05 -27/09 -16/22 -10/40 -9/45 -8/44 -7/52 -4/71 500 MB DP(C)/RH -49/04 -33/19 -23/48 -22/48 -20/54 -24/32 -29/20 -29/22 -27/28 PRCPABLE WTR (IN) 0.15 0.14 0.20 0.24 0.29 0.29 0.27 0.29 0.32 CONV PRECIP (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 TOTAL PRECIP (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 WIND DD/FFF (Kts) 1000 MB 07/006 12/008 16/012 20/020 21/022 22/015 22/018 23/024 22/022 850 MB 08/006 12/008 16/012 20/020 21/022 22/015 22/018 23/024 22/021 700 MB 03/008 07/004 19/009 22/020 23/024 24/027 25/022 24/028 24/030 500 MB 34/028 32/027 32/026 31/021 29/022 26/027 26/035 26/036 25/041 250 MB 33/076 34/068 33/055 33/041 29/037 27/039 27/042 25/044 25/056 PRESS/HEIGHTS MSL PRESSURE 1029.9 1030.5 1027.7 1028.3 1028.2 1031.7 1026.7 1028.3 1029.8 850 MB HGT 160 161 160 161 160 163 159 160 160 700 MB HGT 317 320 320 321 320 321 320 320 318 500 MB HGT 581 584 585 586 586 588 587 586 584 250 MB HGT 1065 1071 1075 1077 1079 1080 1079 1077 1074 VERTICAL VEL (uB/S) 850 MB -9 3 19 25 10 21 31 20 700 MB -8 4 22 16 6 11 28 17 500 MB 16 -1 9 -9 -16 -12 -1 -13 OTHER TROP PRES (MB) 175 151 141 134 134 136 141 146 142 500 MB ABS VOR () 4.3 6.3 6.0 5.2 4.6 5.2 5.7 4.5 3.9 1000 MB LI (K) 284 285 282 281 282 283 281 281 283 FXUS65 KGJT 192140 AFDGJT DENAFDGJT AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 240 PM MST SUN NOV 19 2006 .SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)... RIDGE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EAST OF OUR CWA THROUGH TUESDAY. SOME HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE RIDGE OVERNIGHT WITH MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS RETURNING LATER MONDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH TUESDAY. EXPECT DRY AND SEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE OVER VALLEY LOCATIONS WHICH WILL BE SLOWER TO WARM DUE TO STRONG LOCAL INVERSIONS 700 MB TEMPERATURES WARMING TO NEAR + 4C BY TUESDAY. .LONG-TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...IN SPITE OF THE BREAKDOWN OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE...THESE PERIODS TO REMAIN MOSTLY DRY. SOUTHWEST FLOW TIGHTENS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY PRODUCING RIDGETOP BREEZES...BUT THE VALLEYS EXPECTED TO REMAIN INVERTED AND DECOUPLED. PACIFIC SYSTEM WILL PASS THROUGH THE NORTHERN ROCKIES ON THANKSGIVING. THIS SYSTEM LOOKS LIKE A WIND PRODUCER WITH THE 12Z GFS KEEPING THE COLD CORE IN NORTHERN WYOMING AND NO SFC REFLECTION. HAVE LOWER POPS TO ONLY ISOLATED IN THE NORTHERN MTNS. FAST ZONAL BUT DRY FLOW CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SNOWS TO COME AROUND EARLY THE NEXT WEEK. RAMEY && .GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... .CO...NONE. .UT...NONE. $$ MPM/JOE COZ006-201215- GRAND VALLEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAND JUNCTION...FRUITA...PALISADE 240 PM MST SUN NOV 19 2006 .TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 25 TO 35. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. .MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. .MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 25 TO 35. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. .TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 25 TO 35. .WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. LOWS 25 TO 35. .FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. LOWS IN THE 20S. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 19/2031 GJT UU 031/055 032/056 031 13000 done