Frame Controls: | OLR and 850 hPa Wind Maps For a description of the algorithm used to diagnose the modes, see Roundy, P.E., 2011: Tracking and prediction of large-scale organzed tropical convection by spectrally focused two-step space-time EOF analysis. Q.J. Roy. Met. Soc., In Press. The wind data on these figures prior to 19 Aug 2011 were incorrect. The OLR anomalies were not impacted by the error. Total signals are now included in panel a. |
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Loop Mode:ADVANCEBACK and FORTH Animate Frames:REVIEW STOP FWDDwell First:dec start dwellinc start dwell Dwell Last:decrease end dwell increase end dwellAdjust Speed:Slower FasterAdvance One:Backward Forward |
Reference wind vectors in panels b, c, e, and f are 5 m/s. The reference vector in Panel d is 20 m/s. Skill in panel c ranges from 24-30 days IF the forecast includes high amplitude signals. Skill in panel d is 3-6 days, but the smallest scale easterly waves are not well resolved. Skill in panels b and f remains to be assessed. |