|Frame Controls:||OLR and 850 hPa Wind Maps|
For a description of the algorithm used to diagnose the modes, see
Roundy, P.E., 2011: Tracking and prediction of large-scale organzed tropical convection by spectrally focused two-step space-time EOF analysis. Q.J. Roy. Met. Soc., In Press.
The wind data on these figures prior to 19 Aug 2011 were incorrect.
The OLR anomalies were not impacted by the error.
Total signals are now included in panel a.
BACK and FORTH
Animate Frames:REVIEW STOP FWD
Dwell First:dec start dwell
inc start dwell
Dwell Last:decrease end dwell increase end dwell
Adjust Speed:Slower Faster
Advance One:Backward Forward
Reference wind vectors in panels b, c, e, and f are 5 m/s.
The reference vector in Panel d is 20 m/s.
Skill in panel c ranges from 24-30 days IF the forecast includes high amplitude signals.
Skill in panel d is 3-6 days, but the smallest scale easterly waves are not well resolved.
Skill in panels b and f remains to be assessed.