146 FXUS61 KALY 271741 AFDALY Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Albany NY 141 PM EDT Fri Mar 27 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... No significant changes with this forecast update. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Isolated to widely scattered snow showers on Saturday could result in brief reductions in visibility and locally slippery travel. 2) Multiple periods of precipitation, mainly in the form of rain, is expected next week, although confidence remains low whether or not any hydrologic impacts will occur. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1... An anomalously cold air mass (850 hPa temperature anomalies -1 to -2 STDEV and 500 hPa anomalies of -2 to -3 STDEV) will settle into the area through Sat night. As a upper level shortwave moves across the area on Sat, the associated cold pool aloft combined with steep low/mid level lapse rates will likely result in isolated to widely scattered snow showers. A quick coating of snow in some spots could lead to briefly reduced visibility and locally slippery travel. For valley areas, any accumulation will likely occur on non paved surfaces due to surface temperatures at or above freezing along with the higher sun angle this time of year. The cold temperatures combined with the wind will make it feel like the teens and 20s for most of the day. Temperatures rebound back to near normal values on Sunday. KEY MESSAGE 2... There is increasing confidence regarding the overall synoptic pattern for next week. Zonal flow will be place across much of the CONUS with embedded troughs/shortwaves passing through the flow. This will allow for milder Pacific air to build across the region resulting in above normal temperatures Monday through Wednesday. A low pressure system is expected to track to the north and west of the area during the early to middle part of next week. Some rain showers are possible Monday night into Tuesday along the warm front with additional periods of rain along and ahead of the cold front on Wednesday. The milder conditions and rainfall combined with some snow melt could lead to some river rises but confidence is low whether or not any hydrological impacts occur. Will monitor trends over the coming days. This front should drop near or just south of the area on Thursday as high pressure builds southward from Canada bringing cooler weather for the end of the week. The front is expected to lift back northward as a warm front on Friday bringing additional precipitation on Friday. Temperatures could be cold enough for precipitation to start out as snow or mixed precipitation, especially for higher elevations with all other areas rain. Once again, trends will be monitored for any possible hydrological impacts. && .AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Through 18z Saturday...Clouds are swiftly eroding across the region this afternoon as high pressure overhead ushers in drier, but cooler air. As such, all precipitation has departed and conditions across all terminals have returned to VFR thresholds. Throughout the remainder of the afternoon, lingering ceilings will continue to break before skies become mostly clear by this evening. A weak passing disturbance tonight will force the redevelopment of ceilings late tonight and bring the possibility of isolated, light snow showers but conditions should generally remain well within the VFR category. The only deviation from VFR conditions would occur at ALB in the event that some snow showers lower ceilings and visibility into MVFR thresholds between 04-09z, but the probability for this is low. Winds will continue to be breezy through this afternoon out of the north to northeast before gradually decreasing overnight and becoming more northwesterly. Outlook... Saturday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Sunday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Sunday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Monday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Monday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of RA. Tuesday: Moderate Operational Impact. Likely RA. Tuesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of RA. Wednesday: High Operational Impact. Breezy. Likely RA. && .ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CT...None. NY...None. MA...None. VT...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...07/33 AVIATION...12/23