254 
FOUS30 KWBC 210128
QPFERD
 
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
828 PM EST FRI NOV 20 2009
 
...VALID 03Z SAT NOV 21 2009 - 00Z SUN NOV 22 2009...
...REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHIC UNDER...DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...
 

SLIGHT RISK OF RAINFALL EXCEEDING FFG TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
20 NNW RBO 40 NW RKP 30 WSW VCT 15 NNW VCT 20 WNW 5R5 20 NE 5R5
15 S SGR LBX 25 SSE LBX 45 SSE BYY 50 E 2R8 45 SSE NGP 40 SE NQI
15 SSE NQI 20 NNW RBO.

DECIDED TO KEEP A SLGT RISK OUT FOR PTNS OF SERN TX..MAINLY FOR
THE NEXT SVRL HRS..BFR HVY RNFL THREAT
DIMINISHES.  ALTHO SIGNIFICANT CNVCTN HAS MOVD OFFSHORE AND SFC
FLOW HAS TURNED NELY INTO SERN TX..SOME HIER PWS..AOA 1.50
INCHES..AND LGT SELY H85 FLO PERSISTS INTO THE REGION AND A WELL
DEFINED S/WV NOW VCNTY OF THE MID RIO GRANDE VLY WL BE MOVG THRU
THE AREA SHORTLY.  LRG SCALE LIFT WITH THIS S/WV WL LIKELY SUPPORT
SOME CONTD CNVCTV DVLPMNT UNTIL 06Z OR SO OVR PARTS OF SERN
TX..AND GIVEN STILL REASONABLY HI MSTR IN PLACE..SOME ISOLD HVIER
RNFL AMTS ARE PSBL.  DON'T SEE THE INTENSITY OF RAINS WE HAD LAST
NGT..BUT SOME LCL 1-2 INCH TOTALS IN AN HR OR SO STILL PSBL..WHICH
COULD CAUSE PROBS IN AREAS WHERE THE HVIER RNFL OCCURRED LAST
NGT/ERY FRI MRNG.

TERRY


$$