739 
FOUS30 KWBC 060135
QPFERD
 
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
932 PM EDT FRI SEP 05 2008
 
...VALID 03Z SAT SEP 06 2008 - 00Z SUN SEP 07 2008...
...REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHIC UNDER...DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...
 

SLIGHT RISK OF RAINFALL EXCEEDING FFG TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
15 NNW HTO 30 ENE OXB MQI 20 S MRH 60 SSE SUT 70 SSE MYR
45 E CHS 20 S FLO 10 SSE HBI 20 NE LYH 10 W FDK 15 E AVP
15 SE PSF 15 E CEF 20 E IJD 15 NNW HTO.

TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF FIVE INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE TO THE
RIGHT OF A LINE FROM BLM 20 E FYJ 15 SSE ASJ 15 SSE ISO
20 SW NCA 10 NNW ILM 20 SSE CTZ JNX 15 NW AVC 10 SW EZF
10 NW MTN UKT 10 E 12N 15 NNE CDW 10 SSW HPN BLM.

 
MADE SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO PREVIOUS ISSUANCE..MAINLY TO MOV
THE GTR THAN 5 INCH RNFL THREAT A BIT E BASED ON FINAL DAY 1
QPF..ECMWF HIRES AND UKMET FCSTS.  OTRW..DO XPC SOME RAINS IN
EXCESS OF FIVE INCHES IN ASSOCTN WITH HANNA AS IT ADVANCES THRU
THE ERN CAROLINAS TO VCNTY OF THE DELMARVA BY THE END OF THE PD. 
SEE LATEST NHC GUIDANCE CONCERNING THE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. 
STILL BELIEVE THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT RAINS WL BE ALG
AND TO THE LEFT OF ITS TRACK AS THE MAX RNFL AXIS ALIGNS ITSELF
WITH THE MID LVL DEFORMATION AXIS/CONFLUENCE ZONE AHEAD OF THE
SYSTEM WITH FVBL DIV ALOFT AIDING THE LIFTING PROCESSES.  CSTL
TROF SETTING UP VCNTY OF ERN NC SHLD ALSO HELP TO FOCUS SOME
ENHANCED RAINS INTO THE LTR FRI NGT HRS.  XPC RATHER WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES..WITH THE PSBLTY OF A NARROW BAND
OF UP TO 8 INCHES AND PSBL SPOTTY 10 INCH TOTALS.

TERRY
$$