856 
FXUS01 KWBC 121724
PMDSPD

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
1223 PM EST Mon Jan 12 2026

Valid 00Z Tue Jan 13 2026 - 00Z Thu Jan 15 2026

...Well above average temperatures potentially leading to
widespread minimum records broken across Northern/Central Plains
and Upper Midwest tonight...

...Wintry weather possible for parts of the Midwest, Great Lakes
and Appalachians by mid-week...


A staunch ridge stationed over the West will promote above average
temperatures across the region this week. A shortwave impulse
diving south from central Canada will generate cloudy/warm
conditions for the Great Plains and Upper Midwest tonight. Lows in
the 30s and 40s will likely break numerous minimum temperature
records for portions of the Northern/Central Plains and Upper
Midwest as a result.

The aforementioned shortwave is forecast to dive down through the
Mississippi Valley, causing the parent mid-level trough to amplify
from Hudson Bay to the Gulf Coast. At the surface, an arctic cold
front will produce lake effect snow over downwind areas of the
Great Lakes beginning Tuesday night. Wintry precipitation, the
details of which are less certain, will spread across the
Appalachians and parts of the interior Northeast beginning
Wednesday night behind the cold front.


Kebede


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php

$$