758 
FXUS01 KWBC 311917
PMDSPD

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
316 PM EDT Sun May 31 2026

Valid 00Z Mon Jun 01 2026 - 00Z Wed Jun 03 2026

...There is a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over
parts of the Middle Mississippi Valley, Northern High Plains, and
Southeast on Sunday...

...There is a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms over
parts of the Central Plains/ Middle Mississippi Valley on Sunday...

...There is a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms over
parts of the Central Plains/Central Rockies on Monday...

A weakening stationary front extending from the Southeast
northwestward to the Central Plains, combined with upper-level
energy, will trigger showers and thunderstorms over the Southeast
to the Middle Mississippi Valley, producing heavy rain over the
Middle Mississippi Valley and the Southeast. Therefore, the WPC
issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over parts
of the Middle Mississippi Valley through Monday morning. The
associated heavy rain will cause mainly localized flash flooding,
with urban areas, roads, small streams, and low-lying areas being
the most vulnerable.

Furthermore, showers and thunderstorms with heavy rain will
develop over parts of the Southeast on Sunday. Therefore, the WPC
has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over
parts of the Southeast through Monday morning. The associated
heavy rain will cause mainly localized flash flooding, with urban
areas, roads, small streams, and low-lying areas being the most
vulnerable.

In addition, showers and thunderstorms with heavy rain will
develop over parts of the Northern High Plains on Sunday.
Therefore, the WPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of
excessive rainfall over parts of the Northern High Plains through
Monday morning. The associated heavy rain will cause mainly
localized flash flooding, with urban areas, roads, small streams,
and low-lying areas being the most vulnerable.

Also the showers and severe thunderstorms will develop over parts
of the Central Plains/Middle Mississippi Valley. Therefore, the
SPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms
over parts of the Central Plains/Middle Mississippi Valley through
Monday morning. The hazards associated with these thunderstorms
include frequent lightning, severe wind gusts, hail, and the
threat of tornadoes.

Moreover, the threat of excessive rainfall diminishes to a
Marginal Risk over parts of the Central Plains, the Middle/Lower
Mississippi Valley, the Northern High Plains, and the Southern
High Plains on Monday into Tuesday morning.

On Tuesday, there is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over the
Southern High Plains. Therefore, the WPC has issued a Slight Risk
(level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over parts of the Southern High
Plains on Tuesday. The associated heavy rain will cause mainly
localized flash flooding, with urban areas, roads, small streams,
and low-lying areas being the most vulnerable.

A developing front over the Northern High Plains will produce
showers and severe thunderstorms across parts of the region.
Therefore, the SPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe
thunderstorms over parts of the Northern High Plain on Tuesday.
The hazards associated with these thunderstorms include frequent
lightning, severe wind gusts, hail, and the threat of tornadoes.
Additionally, high pressure will move over the Great Lakes/Ohio
Valley overnight Monday into Tuesday.


Ziegenfelder


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php




$$