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Surface Observations

KAKQ 151754Z AUTO 21003KT 10SM CLR 35/21 A2996 RMK AO2 SLP145 T03500211 10356
 20267 58009=
KAKQ 151854Z AUTO VRB04KT 7SM CLR 34/23 A2994 RMK AO2 SLP137 T03440228=
KAKQ 151954Z AUTO VRB06KT 10SM CLR 35/22 A2993 RMK AO2 SLP132 T03500222=
KAKQ 152054Z AUTO 23006KT 10SM CLR 35/22 A2991 RMK AO2 SLP126 T03500217 56019=
KAKQ 152154Z AUTO 18003KT 10SM CLR 34/23 A2989 RMK AO2 SLP119 T03440228=
KAKQ 152254Z AUTO VRB03KT 9SM CLR 34/23 A2989 RMK AO2 SLP118 T03390233=
KAKQ 152354Z AUTO 19003KT 8SM CLR 32/24 A2990 RMK AO2 SLP124 T03220244 10356
 20322 55001=
KAKQ 160054Z AUTO 00000KT 8SM CLR 30/24 A2990 RMK AO2 SLP125 T03000244=
KAKQ 160154Z AUTO 00000KT 8SM CLR 28/24 A2991 RMK AO2 SLP125 T02830244=
KAKQ 160254Z AUTO 00000KT 7SM CLR 29/24 A2990 RMK AO2 SLP123 T02890244 58001=
KAKQ 160354Z AUTO VRB03KT 6SM HZ CLR 28/25 A2991 RMK AO2 SLP126 T02830250=
KAKQ 160454Z AUTO 21004KT 8SM CLR 28/23 A2990 RMK AO2 SLP124 T02780228
 403560244=
KAKQ 160554Z AUTO VRB04KT 9SM CLR 27/22 A2989 RMK AO2 SLP120 T02720217 10322
 20272 58003=
KAKQ 160654Z AUTO 22004KT 9SM CLR 26/22 A2989 RMK AO2 SLP121 T02610222=
KAKQ 160754Z AUTO 19003KT 9SM CLR 26/22 A2989 RMK AO2 SLP121 T02560217=
KAKQ 160854Z AUTO 21004KT 8SM CLR 25/22 A2991 RMK AO2 SLP127 T02500222 53007=
KAKQ 160954Z AUTO VRB03KT 7SM CLR 24/22 A2992 RMK AO2 SLP128 T02440222=
KAKQ 161054Z AUTO 20003KT 6SM BR CLR 24/22 A2991 RMK AO2 SLP128 T02440222=
KAKQ 161154Z AUTO 20004KT 6SM HZ CLR 26/23 A2993 RMK AO2 SLP132 T02560228 10272
 20244 53004=
KAKQ 161254Z AUTO 22003KT 7SM CLR 27/23 A2993 RMK AO2 SLP133 T02720233=
KAKQ 161354Z AUTO VRB04KT 7SM CLR 29/24 A2993 RMK AO2 SLP133 T02940239=
KAKQ 161454Z AUTO 22005KT 7SM CLR 30/24 A2993 RMK AO2 SLP134 T03000239 53002=
KAKQ 161554Z AUTO 18007KT 7SM CLR 32/25 A2992 RMK AO2 SLP130 T03170250=
KAKQ 161654Z AUTO VRB06KT 7SM CLR 32/25 A2991 RMK AO2 SLP126 T03220250=
KAKQ 161754Z AUTO 19007KT 160V240 7SM CLR 33/25 A2990 RMK AO2 SLP124 T03330250
 10333 20256 56010=

Decoded Surface Observations


The weather observed at NORFOLK/WAKEFLD, VA (KAKQ) at 01:54 PM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 95F ( 35C)  Dewpoint:  70F ( 21C)  Relative Humidity:  44%
  Winds from the SW (210 degs) at  3 mph.
  Pressure: 1014.5 millibars.  Altimeter:29.96 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.
  The maximum temperature in the past 6 hours was  96F.
  The minimum temperature in the past 6 hours was  80F.

The weather observed at NORFOLK/WAKEFLD, VA (KAKQ) at 02:54 PM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 93F ( 34C)  Dewpoint:  73F ( 23C)  Relative Humidity:  53%
  Winds from the VRB(VRB degs) at  5 mph.
  Pressure: 1013.7 millibars.  Altimeter:29.94 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 7 miles.

The weather observed at NORFOLK/WAKEFLD, VA (KAKQ) at 03:54 PM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 95F ( 35C)  Dewpoint:  72F ( 22C)  Relative Humidity:  47%
  Winds from the VRB(VRB degs) at  7 mph.
  Pressure: 1013.2 millibars.  Altimeter:29.93 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at NORFOLK/WAKEFLD, VA (KAKQ) at 04:54 PM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 95F ( 35C)  Dewpoint:  71F ( 22C)  Relative Humidity:  46%
  Winds from the SW (230 degs) at  7 mph.
  Pressure: 1012.6 millibars.  Altimeter:29.91 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at NORFOLK/WAKEFLD, VA (KAKQ) at 05:54 PM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 93F ( 34C)  Dewpoint:  73F ( 23C)  Relative Humidity:  53%
  Winds from the S  (180 degs) at  3 mph.
  Pressure: 1011.9 millibars.  Altimeter:29.89 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at NORFOLK/WAKEFLD, VA (KAKQ) at 06:54 PM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 93F ( 34C)  Dewpoint:  73F ( 23C)  Relative Humidity:  53%
  Winds from the VRB(VRB degs) at  3 mph.
  Pressure: 1011.8 millibars.  Altimeter:29.89 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 9 miles.

The weather observed at NORFOLK/WAKEFLD, VA (KAKQ) at 07:54 PM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 90F ( 32C)  Dewpoint:  76F ( 24C)  Relative Humidity:  63%
  Winds from the S  (190 degs) at  3 mph.
  Pressure: 1012.4 millibars.  Altimeter:29.90 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 8 miles.
  The maximum temperature in the past 6 hours was  96F.
  The minimum temperature in the past 6 hours was  90F.

The weather observed at NORFOLK/WAKEFLD, VA (KAKQ) at 08:54 PM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 86F ( 30C)  Dewpoint:  75F ( 24C)  Relative Humidity:  70%
  Winds from the CLM(CLM degs) at  0 mph.
  Pressure: 1012.5 millibars.  Altimeter:29.90 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 8 miles.

The weather observed at NORFOLK/WAKEFLD, VA (KAKQ) at 09:54 PM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 82F ( 28C)  Dewpoint:  75F ( 24C)  Relative Humidity:  79%
  Winds from the CLM(CLM degs) at  0 mph.
  Pressure: 1012.5 millibars.  Altimeter:29.91 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 8 miles.

The weather observed at NORFOLK/WAKEFLD, VA (KAKQ) at 10:54 PM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 84F ( 29C)  Dewpoint:  76F ( 24C)  Relative Humidity:  77%
  Winds from the CLM(CLM degs) at  0 mph.
  Pressure: 1012.3 millibars.  Altimeter:29.90 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 7 miles.

The weather observed at NORFOLK/WAKEFLD, VA (KAKQ) at 11:54 PM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  The weather reported was haze.
  Temperature: 82F ( 28C)  Dewpoint:  77F ( 25C)  Relative Humidity:  84%
  Winds from the VRB(VRB degs) at  3 mph.
  Pressure: 1012.6 millibars.  Altimeter:29.91 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 6 miles.

The weather observed at NORFOLK/WAKEFLD, VA (KAKQ) at 12:54 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 82F ( 28C)  Dewpoint:  73F ( 23C)  Relative Humidity:  74%
  Winds from the SW (210 degs) at  5 mph.
  Pressure: 1012.4 millibars.  Altimeter:29.90 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 8 miles.

The weather observed at NORFOLK/WAKEFLD, VA (KAKQ) at 01:54 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 81F ( 27C)  Dewpoint:  71F ( 22C)  Relative Humidity:  72%
  Winds from the VRB(VRB degs) at  5 mph.
  Pressure: 1012.0 millibars.  Altimeter:29.89 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 9 miles.
  The maximum temperature in the past 6 hours was  90F.
  The minimum temperature in the past 6 hours was  81F.

The weather observed at NORFOLK/WAKEFLD, VA (KAKQ) at 02:54 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 79F ( 26C)  Dewpoint:  72F ( 22C)  Relative Humidity:  79%
  Winds from the SW (220 degs) at  5 mph.
  Pressure: 1012.1 millibars.  Altimeter:29.89 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 9 miles.

The weather observed at NORFOLK/WAKEFLD, VA (KAKQ) at 03:54 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 79F ( 26C)  Dewpoint:  72F ( 22C)  Relative Humidity:  79%
  Winds from the S  (190 degs) at  3 mph.
  Pressure: 1012.1 millibars.  Altimeter:29.89 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 9 miles.

The weather observed at NORFOLK/WAKEFLD, VA (KAKQ) at 04:54 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 77F ( 25C)  Dewpoint:  72F ( 22C)  Relative Humidity:  84%
  Winds from the SW (210 degs) at  5 mph.
  Pressure: 1012.7 millibars.  Altimeter:29.91 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 8 miles.

The weather observed at NORFOLK/WAKEFLD, VA (KAKQ) at 05:54 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 75F ( 24C)  Dewpoint:  72F ( 22C)  Relative Humidity:  89%
  Winds from the VRB(VRB degs) at  3 mph.
  Pressure: 1012.8 millibars.  Altimeter:29.92 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 7 miles.

The weather observed at NORFOLK/WAKEFLD, VA (KAKQ) at 06:54 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  The weather reported was fog.
  Temperature: 75F ( 24C)  Dewpoint:  72F ( 22C)  Relative Humidity:  89%
  Winds from the SSW(200 degs) at  3 mph.
  Pressure: 1012.8 millibars.  Altimeter:29.91 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 6 miles.

The weather observed at NORFOLK/WAKEFLD, VA (KAKQ) at 07:54 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  The weather reported was haze.
  Temperature: 78F ( 26C)  Dewpoint:  73F ( 23C)  Relative Humidity:  85%
  Winds from the SSW(200 degs) at  5 mph.
  Pressure: 1013.2 millibars.  Altimeter:29.93 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 6 miles.
  The maximum temperature in the past 6 hours was  81F.
  The minimum temperature in the past 6 hours was  76F.

The weather observed at NORFOLK/WAKEFLD, VA (KAKQ) at 08:54 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 81F ( 27C)  Dewpoint:  73F ( 23C)  Relative Humidity:  79%
  Winds from the SW (220 degs) at  3 mph.
  Pressure: 1013.3 millibars.  Altimeter:29.93 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 7 miles.

The weather observed at NORFOLK/WAKEFLD, VA (KAKQ) at 09:54 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 84F ( 29C)  Dewpoint:  75F ( 24C)  Relative Humidity:  74%
  Winds from the VRB(VRB degs) at  5 mph.
  Pressure: 1013.3 millibars.  Altimeter:29.93 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 7 miles.

The weather observed at NORFOLK/WAKEFLD, VA (KAKQ) at 10:54 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 86F ( 30C)  Dewpoint:  75F ( 24C)  Relative Humidity:  70%
  Winds from the SW (220 degs) at  6 mph.
  Pressure: 1013.4 millibars.  Altimeter:29.93 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 7 miles.

The weather observed at NORFOLK/WAKEFLD, VA (KAKQ) at 11:54 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 90F ( 32C)  Dewpoint:  77F ( 25C)  Relative Humidity:  67%
  Winds from the S  (180 degs) at  8 mph.
  Pressure: 1013.0 millibars.  Altimeter:29.92 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 7 miles.

The weather observed at NORFOLK/WAKEFLD, VA (KAKQ) at 12:54 PM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 90F ( 32C)  Dewpoint:  77F ( 25C)  Relative Humidity:  67%
  Winds from the VRB(VRB degs) at  7 mph.
  Pressure: 1012.6 millibars.  Altimeter:29.91 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 7 miles.

The weather observed at NORFOLK/WAKEFLD, VA (KAKQ) at 01:54 PM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 92F ( 33C)  Dewpoint:  77F ( 25C)  Relative Humidity:  62%
  Winds from the S  (190 degs) at  8 mph.
  Pressure: 1012.4 millibars.  Altimeter:29.90 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 7 miles.
  The maximum temperature in the past 6 hours was  92F.
  The minimum temperature in the past 6 hours was  78F.

Short Range Forecast

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Zone Forecast

VAZ089-170200-
Surry-
Including the cities of Barham, Gwaltney Corner, Bacons Castle,
Chippokes State Park, Hog Island Game Reserve, Poolesville,
and Booth Fork
245 PM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

.THIS AFTERNOON...Mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Southwest winds around
10 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent. Heat
index values up to 110.
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening. Humid with lows in the upper 70s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent. Heat
index values up to 108 early in the evening.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of showers and thunderstorms
in the afternoon. Hot with highs in the mid 90s. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent. Heat index values up to
110.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Thunderstorms likely. Showers likely. Humid
with lows in the mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of
rain 60 percent. Heat index values up to 101 early in the
evening.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms
in the morning, then showers and thunderstorms likely in the
afternoon. Humid with highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph, becoming northwest in the afternoon. Chance of rain
70 percent.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms
likely, mainly in the evening. Lows in the lower 70s. Chance of
rain 70 percent.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy in the morning, then partly sunny with a
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in
the lower 80s. Chance of rain 30 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of thunderstorms in the evening. Mostly
cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around 70. Chance of rain
40 percent.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. A chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of
rain 50 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Chance of rain 50 percent.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. A chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of
rain 50 percent.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Chance of rain 50 percent.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the morning, then
showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. Highs in the
mid 80s. Chance of rain 60 percent.


State Forecast

FPUS61 KAKQ 160931
SFTAKQ
FPUS61 KAKQ 160930
SFTAKQ
VAZ001>100-162100-

Tabular State Forecast for VIRGINIA
National Weather Service WAKEFIELD VA
530 AM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

ROWS INCLUDE...
   Daily predominant daytime weather 6AM-6PM
   Forecast temperatures...early morning low/daytime high
         Probability of precipitation nighttime 6PM-6AM/daytime 6AM-6PM
          - indicates temperatures below zero
         MM indicates missing data


   FCST     FCST     FCST     FCST     FCST     FCST     FCST
   Today    Wed      Thu      Fri      Sat      Sun      Mon
   Jul 16   Jul 17   Jul 18   Jul 19   Jul 20   Jul 21   Jul 22

...CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA INCLUDING RICHMOND AND HAMPTON ROADS...
   NEWPORT NEWS
   Sunny    Tstrms   Tstrms   Ptcldy   Tstrms   Ptcldy   Ptcldy
     /99    79/96    75/88    72/84    73/86    73/87    73/86
      /20    20/50    60/70    70/30    40/50    50/40    40/40

   NORFOLK
   Sunny    Ptcldy   Tstrms   Mocldy   Tstrms   Ptcldy   Ptcldy
     /98    78/97    75/88    73/84    73/86    73/87    73/87
      /20    20/40    60/70    70/40    40/50    50/40    40/40

   RICHMOND
   Sunny    Tstrms   Tstrms   Ptcldy   Mocldy   Ptcldy   Ptcldy
     /100   78/96    74/86    69/85    69/85    71/87    71/86
      /20    20/60    60/60    60/20    30/40    40/40    40/40

   WAKEFIELD
   Sunny    Tstrms   Tstrms   Ptcldy   Tstrms   Ptcldy   Ptcldy
     /99    77/96    74/87    69/84    70/84    71/87    70/85
      /20    20/60    60/70    70/30    40/50    50/40    40/40

...CENTRAL PIEDMONT AND SOUTHSIDE VIRGINIA...
   DANVILLE
   Sunny    Ptcldy   Mocldy   Ptcldy   Mocldy   Ptcldy   Ptcldy
     /99    76/96    72/90    67/84    68/85    68/88    69/86
      /30    20/70    70/70    70/40    40/60    60/50    50/60

   FARMVILLE
   Sunny    Tstrms   Tstrms   Ptcldy   Tstrms   Ptcldy   Tstrms
     /99    74/95    71/86    65/84    67/85    68/87    68/86
      /20    20/70    70/60    60/20    30/50    50/40    40/50

   LYNCHBURG
   Sunny    Ptcldy   Mocldy   Ptcldy   Mocldy   Ptcldy   Ptcldy
     /98    73/97    71/87    67/83    67/85    68/87    68/86
      /30    20/70    70/60    60/20    30/50    50/50    50/50

...NEW RIVER VALLEY...
   BLACKSBURG
   Sunny    Ptcldy   Mocldy   Ptcldy   Ptcldy   Ptcldy   Ptcldy
     /94    69/91    68/82    64/79    64/81    64/83    65/82
      /30    20/70    70/60    60/30    30/60    60/50    50/60

   ROANOKE
   Sunny    Ptcldy   Mocldy   Ptcldy   Ptcldy   Ptcldy   Ptcldy
     /98    73/97    72/87    67/83    68/85    68/88    68/86
      /30    20/70    70/60    60/30    30/60    60/50    50/60

...NORTHERN VIRGINIA INCLUDING THE SHENENDOAH VALLEY...
   CHARLOTTESVILLE
   Sunny    Tstrms   Shwrs    Ptcldy   Ptcldy   Ptcldy   Ptcldy
     /100   74/96    72/86    66/85    68/85    68/89    69/87
      /30    30/70    70/50    50/10    20/40    40/40    40/40

   DULLES AIRPORT
   Sunny    Ptcldy   Mocldy   Ptcldy   Ptcldy   Ptcldy   Ptcldy
     /101   75/96    72/86    66/87    68/86    69/90    70/89
      /30    30/70    70/30    30/10    10/30    30/30    30/30


$$



State Forecast Discussion

FXUS61 KAKQ 161728
AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
128 PM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Hot and humid conditions prevail through Wednesday. An
unsettled period returns late Wednesday through Thursday, as a
cold front pushes through the area and stalls across the
Carolinas. Shower chances focus mainly over southern Virginia
and North Carolina Friday, then return to all zones by Saturday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 1020 AM EDT Tuesday...

Key Messages:

- Excessive Heat Warning today for Southeast Virginia and much
  of Northeast North Carolina, Heat Advisory for the remainder
  of the area with the exception of the MD beaches.

- Marginal SVR risk this aftn/evening across the north.

The forecast remains largely on track this morning, with only
some minor adjustments to the temperatures and dewpoints to
account for the latest trends. Heat headlines remain in effect,
with Excessive Heat Warnings for the SE and Heat Advisories
elsewhere (only the MD beaches are not in any heat headline).
Dew pts yesterday mixed down farther to the SE than anticipated
(into the mid 60s to around 70F into Hampton roads), and
therefore yesterday's Excessive Heat did not reach much above
105 heat indices. Today, with the upper ridge becoming centered
off the SE coast, and a stronger low level SW flow, expect dew
pts will not mix down as much as yesterday. The combination of
heat and humidity is therefore expected to peak today. The
consensus is for 850mb temperatures a touch higher than Monday
as well (rising to 22-23C this aftn). Highs are expected to be
mostly in the range of 97-101F except for locally cooler
conditions at the immediate coast. Dew pts will likely avg in
the mid to upper 70s this aftn over NE NC and mid 70s in SE VA.
While they mix down to some extent, most of metro RIC will
probably see them in the lower 70s this aftn. Peak heat indices
of 105-109F are expected for much of the area and 110F+ in the
warning (locally ~115F possible in some areas on interior NE
NC). Note that heat indices are quite sensitive to just 1 degree
variation in T/Td so a few sites only in the Advisory could
briefly touch 110F.

The CAMs a bit split on where the highest chances will be, the
HRW NSSL rather aggressive compared to the HRRR. Overall, there
is a bit higher chc for storms developing along the mountains
and drifting ESE through the aftn. PoPs are 15-25%, with less
the 15% along the Atlantic Coast of the Eastern Shore. One thing
is that the models do show some increase in mid level lapse
rates late this aftn (to at least 6C in the H7-H5 layer over the
north), so this could allow storms to develop with stronger
updrafts and will need to watch the trends late this morning
into the aftn. SPC has a marginal risk for SVR across the north
for wind/hail.

A few storms possible into the evening, then diminishing
overnight. Warm and humid again Tuesday night (probably the
warmest night with lows in the mid 70s to lower 80s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 340 AM EDT Tuesday...

Key Messages:

- Remaining hot Wednesday and humid area-wide but with a higher
  coverage of storms by afternoon (heat headlines are likely for
  some or most of the area but details are more uncertain).

- Showers/tstms become fairly widespread late Wed/Wed night
  through Thursday. Slight/Marginal SVR risk late Wed, heavy
  rain threat (especially south Thu).

The models remain in decent agreement that Wednesday will be
the last day of hot conditions as the upper ridge eventually
breaks down, as a strong upper trough translates SE from north
central US to the Great Lakes. Dew pts will be more uniform
area-wide (in the mid 70s inland with upper 70s SE), due to
moisture pooling along a pre-frontal trough. Highs will be a
few degrees less Wednesday (mid- upper 90s) but the higher dew
pts may lead to similar heat indices with 110F+ possible in the
E and SE. 1The 00Z/16 guidance is about the same with
showers/tstms later Wednesday aftn into Wednesday evening,
supporting likely PoPs in the W by mid-late aftn. A few
stronger tstms are possible initially given a well mixed BL and
a high pw airmass (SPC has the N in a Slight Risk and MArginal
elsewhere). Continued warm and humid Wednesday night with lows
in the lower to mid 70s and the potential for showers and
embedded tstms lingering overnight as a cold front approaches
from the NW. Models remain in fairly good agreement that the
upper level trough pushes from the upper Great Lakes to New
England Thursday, but flattens out to the south as it approaches
the strong/persistent upper level ridge anchored well offshore
of the SE US coast. The highest chances for showers/storms
Thursday (~70%) will be for southern VA/NE NC, with 50-60% N).
Locally heavy rainfall will certainly be possible during this
timeframe, especially south. Highs Thursday will be highly
dependent upon the timing of the front, for now expecting mid
80s to near 90F.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 400 AM EDT Tuesday...

Key Messages:

- Heavier rain pushes south Thursday night as cold front stalls
  just south of the area on Friday.

- Daily scattered rain chances persist as the front lifts back
  north into the area. Temperatures near to slightly below
  normal.

As the upper trough moves from the Great Lakes into New England
Thursday night into early Friday, a strong enough shortwave is
expected to slide by during the same timeframe, helping push
the cold front just south of our CWA. This will make the highest
rain chances move farther southeast late Thursday evening.
Drier air will attempt to push into the northern tier of the
area on Friday as high pressure drops into the Great
Lakes/western New England region. Dewpoints across the north
look to fall into the low to mid 60s on Friday, and with high
temperatures in the mid 80s, it will be a fairly pleasant day.
On the other hand, southern/southeastern locations will keep the
humidity in place allowing for some chc for continued rain and
storms to continue on Friday especially NE NC). Models then
indicate that the upper level area of high pressure offshore
will retrograde back to the west closer to the Southeast coast
by the weekend. The stalled front will then lift back north into
the local area keeping daily scattered rain chances in place.
Dewpoints in the 70s will creep back northward, but thankfully
temperatures will remain in the mid-upper 80s for the weekend
into early next week, keeping the excessive heat/humidity
at bay.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 125 PM EDT Tuesday...

Mainly VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the 18z
TAF period. Still looking at the potential for a few isolated to
widely scattered showers or thunderstorms later this afternoon
through this evening but the overall coverage is too low to
include into the forecast. Some lingering higher clouds this
afternoon, with FEW-SCT cumulus developing later this afternoon.
Winds are generally out of the SSW 10-15kt (with gusts ~20kt).
Skies become mainly clear overnight.

Outlook: A cold front approaches from the NW Wednesday afternoon with
increasing chances for showers/tstms later Wednesday afternoon
into Wednesday night with a continued chance of showers/tstms.
Periodic flight restrictions are expected later Wednesday into
Thursday. The front will push farther S on Friday as drier air
attempts to push in from the NW, and then the boundary lifts
back N Saturday. The chance for showers/tstms is less Friday
(except over far SE VA/NE NC) and then increases again Saturday.

&&

.MARINE...
As of 315 AM EDT Tuesday...

Key messages:

- Small Craft Advisories are possible late Wednesday into Thursday
  ahead of an approaching cold front.

High pressure well offshore is resulting in sub-SCA SW winds 10-15
kt with gusts to 20 kt along the eastern Ches Bay and coastal waters
while the western half of the bay, tidal rivers, and Currituck Sound
are ~10 kt with gusts to 15 kt. Waves are 1-2 ft with seas 2-3 ft.

SW winds continue today, increasing to 10-15 kt by late afternoon. A
period of SCA winds is possible late tonight into early Wednesday in
the Ches Bay but given marginal speeds and relatively short duration
will not issue any headlines with this forecast. SW flow persists on
Wednesday ahead of a cold front. Latest guidance continues to show
the potential for a period SCA conditions Wednesday evening into
Thursday as pressure gradient tightens ahead of a cold front. The
front now looks to move through the northern half of the area on
Thursday morning, stalling across the southern waters before moving
just south of the area by Friday morning. Scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorm are possible Wed/Thur ahead of the front,
some of which could be strong to severe with locally enhanced
winds/waves/seas. Waves in the bay maintain 1-2 ft today with 2-3 ft
possible overnight and Wednesday with the stronger SW winds. Seas
will generally stay 2-3 ft today but increase to 3-4 ft tonight. A
period of 4-5 ft seas is possible Wednesday night into Thursday for
the northern coastal waters. Flow becomes N and NE 5-10 kt behind
the front on Friday.

Low rip current risk at all beaches today. A moderate rip current
risk is forecast for the northern beaches Wednesday and
Thursday.

&&

.CLIMATE...
No record highs or record high mins were set Monday, records are
possible today and Wed.

- Record Highs:

- Site:  Tue 7/16     Wed 7/17

- RIC:   101 (1980)   100 (1980)
- ORF:   102 (1879)   100 (1887)
- SBY:    99 (1915)    99 (2012)
- ECG:    98 (1995)    99 (1942)

- Record High Mins:

- Site:  Tue 7/16    Wed 7/17

- RIC:    77 (1983)   76 (2005)
- ORF:    80 (1995)   80 (2021)
- SBY:    78 (2013)   80 (1983)
- ECG:    79 (2012)   80 (2019)

- Highest 1-hr Heat Index Value on record (P.O.R. 1948-2024):

- RIC:   117 (7/17/1980)
- ORF:   118 (8/18/2017)
- SBY:   122 (7/15/1995)
- ECG:   119 (7/5/1999)

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for MDZ021>024.
NC...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ012-102.
     Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM EDT this evening for
     NCZ013>017-030>032.
VA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for VAZ048-060>062-
     064>069-075>089-092-099-100-509>522.
     Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM EDT this evening for VAZ090-
     093-095>098-523>525.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...LKB
NEAR TERM...AJB/LKB
SHORT TERM...LKB
LONG TERM...LKB/JKP
AVIATION...AJB
MARINE...RHR
CLIMATE...


GFS Short-Range Model Output Statistics (MOS) Forecast

KAKQ   GFS MOS GUIDANCE    7/16/2024  1200 UTC
DT /JULY 16/JULY 17                /JULY 18                /JULY 19
HR   18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 06 12
N/X                    80          96          75          86    69
TMP  98 99 91 84 83 81 84 90 94 93 86 80 77 76 78 80 83 83 76 71 73
DPT  74 72 75 74 75 75 75 74 74 74 75 74 74 73 73 73 73 73 73 69 69
CLD  CL FW SC SC SC FW BK SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
WDR  22 22 21 21 21 21 21 22 22 21 21 23 21 22 23 30 35 02 06 00 36
WSP  09 09 06 05 05 05 07 09 10 09 10 06 04 03 02 03 03 02 01 00 02
P06         1     4    10     7    45    42    27    33    51 35 17
P12                    10          45          57          64    40
Q06         0     0     0     0     1     1     0     1     3  1  0
Q12                     0           1           1           4     1
T06     26/24 16/10  3/ 1  8/ 1 46/27 26/ 7 16/ 1 23/ 0 38/13  7/ 0
T12           34/24        8/ 3       54/29       30/ 2    41/13
CIG   8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  7  8  3  3  4  6  6  6  6  7
VIS   7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  5  7
OBV   N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N BR  N

GFS Long-Range Model Output Statistics (MOS) Forecast

KAKQ   GFSX MOS GUIDANCE   7/16/2024  1200 UTC
FHR  24  36| 48  60| 72  84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192
     WED 17| THU 18| FRI 19| SAT 20| SUN 21| MON 22| TUE 23|WED CLIMO
N/X  80  96| 75  86| 69  88| 69  88| 71  89| 73  89| 72  90| 73 67 90
TMP  84  86| 78  76| 73  79| 74  79| 76  80| 77  81| 76  81| 77
DPT  75  75| 73  73| 69  70| 70  72| 72  73| 72  72| 72  73| 73
CLD  PC  OV| OV  OV| OV  OV| OV  OV| OV  OV| OV  OV| OV  PC| PC
WND   7  10| 10   3|  2   5|  1   4|  1   5|  3   5|  3   7|  5
P12  10  45| 57  64| 40  26| 18  46| 30  40| 41  40| 35  34| 26999999
P24      45|     78|     48|     46|     55|     59|     57|      999
Q12   0   1|  1   4|  1   0|  0   1|  0   2|  3   4|       |
Q24       1|      4|      1|      1|      1|      4|       |
T12  16  46| 31  45| 26  21|  9  34| 23  42| 27  39| 24  35| 20
T24        | 55    | 46    | 21    | 42    | 53    | 42    | 35

NGM Model Output Statistics (MOS) Forecast

Climatological Summary

CDUS41 KAKQ 160528
CLIRIC

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
128 AM EDT TUE JUL 16 2024

...................................

...THE RICHMOND VA CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR JULY 15 2024...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD: 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD: 1871 TO 2024


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR
                                                  NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
 YESTERDAY
  MAXIMUM         97   3:25 PM 100    1976  90      7       92
                                      1995
  MINIMUM         76   2:50 AM  51    1940  70      6       75
  AVERAGE         87                        80      7       84

PRECIPITATION (IN)
  YESTERDAY        0.00          3.47 1945   0.13  -0.13      T
  MONTH TO DATE    4.54                      2.08   2.46     1.41
  SINCE JUN 1      6.23                      6.72  -0.49     5.05
  SINCE JAN 1     30.93                     23.74   7.19    19.73

SNOWFALL (IN)
  YESTERDAY        0.0           0.0  2001   0.0    0.0
                                      2002
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                       0.0    0.0
  SINCE JUN 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0
  SINCE JUL 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0
  SNOW DEPTH       0

DEGREE DAYS
 HEATING
  YESTERDAY        0                         0      0        0
  MONTH TO DATE    0                         0      0        0
  SINCE JUN 1      0                         6     -6        1
  SINCE JUL 1      0                         0      0        0

 COOLING
  YESTERDAY       22                        15      7       19
  MONTH TO DATE  261                       215     46      249
  SINCE JUN 1    680                       523    157      477
  SINCE JAN 1    927                       691    236      602
...................................................................


WIND (MPH)
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    17   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION    SW (230)
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    22   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION    NW (310)
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     8.2


SKY COVER
  POSSIBLE SUNSHINE  MM
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.2


WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.
  NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.


RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
 HIGHEST    74           9:00 PM
 LOWEST     39           3:00 PM
 AVERAGE    57

..........................................................


THE RICHMOND VA CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   90       101      1980
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   70        55      1960


SUNRISE AND SUNSET
JULY 16 2024..........SUNRISE   6:01 AM EDT   SUNSET   8:29 PM EDT
JULY 17 2024..........SUNRISE   6:02 AM EDT   SUNSET   8:29 PM EDT


-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.




$$


CDUS41 KAKQ 160528
CLISBY

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
128 AM EDT TUE JUL 16 2024

...................................

...THE SALISBURY MD CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR JULY 15 2024...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD: 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD: 1900 TO 2024


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR
                                                  NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
 YESTERDAY
  MAXIMUM         95   1:50 PM 100    1995  88      7       94
  MINIMUM         75   5:35 AM  48    1940  69      6       75
  AVERAGE         85                        78      7       85

PRECIPITATION (IN)
  YESTERDAY        0.00          2.19 1959   0.15  -0.15     0.00
  MONTH TO DATE    4.82                      1.98   2.84     1.17
  SINCE JUN 1      7.74                      6.01   1.73     4.69
  SINCE JAN 1     26.98                     24.09   2.89    17.21

SNOWFALL (IN)
  YESTERDAY        0.0           0.0  2001   0.0    0.0
                                      2002
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                       0.0    0.0
  SINCE JUN 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0
  SINCE JUL 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0
  SNOW DEPTH       0

DEGREE DAYS
 HEATING
  YESTERDAY        0                         0      0        0
  MONTH TO DATE    0                         0      0        0
  SINCE JUN 1      0                        16    -16        4
  SINCE JUL 1      0                         0      0        0

 COOLING
  YESTERDAY       20                        13      7       20
  MONTH TO DATE  222                       191     31      244
  SINCE JUN 1    517                       439     78      432
  SINCE JAN 1    631                       547     84      508
...................................................................


WIND (MPH)
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    14   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION     S (200)
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    19   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION     S (200)
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     5.9


SKY COVER
  POSSIBLE SUNSHINE  MM
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.1


WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.
  NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.


RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
 HIGHEST    97           6:00 AM
 LOWEST     46           1:00 PM
 AVERAGE    72

..........................................................


THE SALISBURY MD CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   88        99      1915
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   69        55      1960
                                             2001
                                             2004


SUNRISE AND SUNSET
JULY 16 2024..........SUNRISE   5:52 AM EDT   SUNSET   8:24 PM EDT
JULY 17 2024..........SUNRISE   5:52 AM EDT   SUNSET   8:24 PM EDT


-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.




$$


CDUS42 KAKQ 160528
CLIECG

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
128 AM EDT TUE JUL 16 2024

...................................

...THE ELIZABETH CITY NC CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR JULY 15 2024...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD: 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD: 1934 TO 2024


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR
                                                  NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
 YESTERDAY
  MAXIMUM         95   4:08 PM  97    1992  88      7       90
                                      1995
                                      1997
  MINIMUM         76   1:02 AM  55    1940  71      5       77
  AVERAGE         86                        80      6       84

PRECIPITATION (IN)
  YESTERDAY        0.00          2.90 1938   0.19  -0.19     0.07
  MONTH TO DATE    4.38                      2.63   1.75     3.09
  SINCE JUN 1      8.03                      7.34   0.69     5.49
  SINCE JAN 1     26.39                     23.94   2.45    19.71

SNOWFALL (IN)
  YESTERDAY        0.0           0.0  2002  MM     MM
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                       0.0    0.0
  SINCE JUN 1      0.0                      MM     MM
  SINCE JUL 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0
  SNOW DEPTH       0

DEGREE DAYS
 HEATING
  YESTERDAY        0                         0      0        0
  MONTH TO DATE    0                         0      0        0
  SINCE JUN 1      0                         2     -2        9
  SINCE JUL 1      0                         0      0        0

 COOLING
  YESTERDAY       21                        15      6       19
  MONTH TO DATE  249                       218     31      247
  SINCE JUN 1    613                       557     56      497
  SINCE JAN 1    854                       767     87      660
...................................................................


WIND (MPH)
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    14   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION    SW (210)
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    20   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION    SW (210)
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     8.1


SKY COVER
  POSSIBLE SUNSHINE  MM
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.0


WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.
  FOG


RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
 HIGHEST    94           6:00 AM
 LOWEST     49           3:00 PM
 AVERAGE    72

..........................................................


THE ELIZABETH CITY NC CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   88        98      1937
                                             1995
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   71        61      1939


SUNRISE AND SUNSET
JULY 16 2024..........SUNRISE   6:00 AM EDT   SUNSET   8:21 PM EDT
JULY 17 2024..........SUNRISE   6:01 AM EDT   SUNSET   8:21 PM EDT


-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.




$$


CDUS41 KAKQ 160528
CLIORF

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
128 AM EDT TUE JUL 16 2024

...................................

...THE NORFOLK VA CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR JULY 15 2024...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD: 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD: 1871 TO 2024


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR
                                                  NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
 YESTERDAY
  MAXIMUM         98   2:56 PM 101    1995  90      8       93
  MINIMUM         78   1:32 AM  62    1940  73      5       79
  AVERAGE         88                        81      7       86

PRECIPITATION (IN)
  YESTERDAY        0.00          2.79 1950   0.19  -0.19      T
  MONTH TO DATE    6.95                      2.49   4.46     1.90
  SINCE JUN 1      9.95                      6.92   3.03     9.00
  SINCE JAN 1     33.18                     24.07   9.11    23.29

SNOWFALL (IN)
  YESTERDAY        0.0           0.0  2001   0.0    0.0
                                      2002
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                       0.0    0.0
  SINCE JUN 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0
  SINCE JUL 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0
  SNOW DEPTH       0

DEGREE DAYS
 HEATING
  YESTERDAY        0                         0      0        0
  MONTH TO DATE    0                         0      0        0
  SINCE JUN 1      0                         4     -4        7
  SINCE JUL 1      0                         0      0        0

 COOLING
  YESTERDAY       23                        16      7       21
  MONTH TO DATE  264                       239     25      266
  SINCE JUN 1    692                       592    100      516
  SINCE JAN 1    949                       808    141      656
...................................................................


WIND (MPH)
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    16   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION    SW (220)
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    22   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION    SW (230)
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     9.5


SKY COVER
  POSSIBLE SUNSHINE  MM
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.0


WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.
  NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.


RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
 HIGHEST    70          11:00 PM
 LOWEST     35           2:00 PM
 AVERAGE    53

..........................................................


THE NORFOLK VA CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   90       102      1879
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   73        61      1926


SUNRISE AND SUNSET
JULY 16 2024..........SUNRISE   5:58 AM EDT   SUNSET   8:23 PM EDT
JULY 17 2024..........SUNRISE   5:59 AM EDT   SUNSET   8:23 PM EDT


-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.




$$


CDUS41 KAKQ 160528
CLIWAL

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
128 AM EDT TUE JUL 16 2024

...................................

...THE WALLOPS ISLAND VA CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR JULY 15 2024...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD: 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD: 1963 TO 2024


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM
                                                  NORMAL
................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
 YESTERDAY
  MAXIMUM         95   2:36 PM  96    1995  86      9
  MINIMUM         74   5:22 AM  59    1999  71      3
  AVERAGE         85                        79      6

PRECIPITATION (IN)
  YESTERDAY        0.00          1.05        0.14  -0.14
  MONTH TO DATE    4.06                      1.81   2.25
  SINCE JUN 1      5.90                      5.20   0.70
  SINCE JAN 1     27.68                     21.39   6.29

DEGREE DAYS
 HEATING
  YESTERDAY        0                                0
  MONTH TO DATE    0                                0
  SINCE JUN 1      0                              -11
  SINCE JUL 1      0                                0

 COOLING
  YESTERDAY       20                                6
  MONTH TO DATE  217                               19
  SINCE JUN 1    561                              106
  SINCE JAN 1    684                              132
................................................................


WIND (MPH)
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    14   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION     S (200)
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    19   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION     W (280)
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     6.9


RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
 HIGHEST    97
 LOWEST     52
 AVERAGE    75

..........................................................


THE WALLOPS ISLAND VA CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   86        96      1983
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   71        62      1987
                                             2011


SUNRISE AND SUNSET
JULY 16 2024..........SUNRISE   5:53 AM EDT   SUNSET   8:23 PM EDT
JULY 17 2024..........SUNRISE   5:53 AM EDT   SUNSET   8:22 PM EDT


-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.




$$


Watch and Warning Statment

WWUS71 KAKQ 161836
NPWAKQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
236 PM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

NCZ013>017-030>032-VAZ090-093-095>098-523>525-170245-
/O.NEW.KAKQ.HT.Y.0011.240717T1500Z-240718T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAKQ.EH.W.0004.000000T0000Z-240717T0000Z/
Hertford-Gates-Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-Bertie-Chowan-
Perquimans-James City-Isle of Wight-Norfolk/Portsmouth-Suffolk-
Chesapeake-Virginia Beach-York-Newport News-Hampton/Poquoson-
Including the cities of Mavaton, Valhalla, Windsor, Ahoskie,
Wards Corner, Edenton, Chuckatuck, Elwood, Mount Pleasant,
Chesapeake Airport, Deep Creek, Greenbrier, Lee Hall, Grand View,
Ghent, Buckroe Beach, Longview, Fentress, Corapeake, Sharon,
Lilly, Downtown Norfolk, Hancock, Dam Neck, Carrsville, Hilton
Village, Back Bay, Langley AFB, Edenhouse, Bowers Hill, Cleopus,
Carrollton, Denbigh, Ocean View, Deanes, Quitsna, Norfolk NAS,
Kempsville, Saint Johns, Gallups Corner, Grafton, Cape Colony,
Jacocks, Fort Monroe, Merry Hill, Tabb, Fort Eustis, Fox Hill,
Bayside, Driver, Newport News, Norview, Woodville, Crittenden,
Hampton, Lawson, Macedonia, Elizabeth City, Lees Mill, Norfolk
International Arpt, Knotts Island, Menchville, Horseshoe,
Downtown Suffolk, Beaconsdale, Williamsburg, Bethel Church, Great
Bridge, Cape Henry, Hallwood, Midway, Benns Church, and London
Bridge
236 PM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Excessive Heat Warning, dangerously hot conditions
  with heat index values of 110 to 115 expected. For the Heat
  Advisory, heat index values up to 109 expected.

* WHERE...Portions of northeast North Carolina and southeast
  Virginia.

* WHEN...For the Excessive Heat Warning, until 8 PM EDT this
  evening. For the Heat Advisory, from 11 AM to 8 PM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Heat related illnesses increase significantly during
  extreme heat and high humidity events.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of
the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors.

&&

$$

MDZ021>024-NCZ012-102-VAZ048-060>062-064>069-075>089-092-099-100-
509>522-170245-
/O.NEW.KAKQ.HT.Y.0011.240717T1500Z-240718T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAKQ.HT.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-240717T0000Z/
Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Northampton-Eastern
Currituck-Fluvanna-Prince Edward-Cumberland-Goochland-Caroline-
Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia-Powhatan-Westmoreland-
Richmond-Northumberland-Lancaster-Brunswick-Dinwiddie-Prince
George-Charles City-New Kent-Gloucester-Middlesex-Mathews-
Greensville-Sussex-Surry-Southampton-Accomack-Northampton-Western
Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-Eastern Hanover-Western
Chesterfield-Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-
Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico-
Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen-
Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-
Including the cities of Burruss Corner, Subletts, Princess Anne,
Jamaica, Browns Corner, Harmony Village, Cape Charles, Bacons
Castle, Healys, Clayville, Barham, Louisa, Melfa, Westmoreland,
Bottoms Bridge, Henley Fork, Sandy Point, Colonial Beach, Oak
Grove, Cedar Fork, Crisfield, Hopewell, Newtown, Reeds,
Goochland, Peary, King William, Beanes Corner, Hawk, Central
Plains, Colonial Heights, King And Queen Court House, Farmville,
Chula, Lively, Severn, Lancaster, Fort Mitchell, Goodwins Store,
Angola, Chippokes State Park, New Point Comfort, Chesterfield,
Mannboro, Crewe, Nahor, New Point, Glass, Ordinary, Raines
Tavern, Kennard, Alfonso, Kilmarnock, Aylett, Poolesville, Arvins
Store, Booth Fork, Farnham, Barnetts, Biscoe, Haynesville,
Mechanicsville, Corolla, Petersburg, Bybee, Hog Island Game
Reserve, Fine Creek Mills, Gloucester Point, Rehoboth, Bon Air,
Leedstown, Beazley, Stoddert, Palmyra, Kiptopeke, Potomac Beach,
Nutbush, Regina, Wallops Island, Cooper, Lewisetta, Genito,
Chincoteague, Wakefield, Franklin, Kells Corner, Tappahannock,
Lunenburg, Corbin, Ashland, Midlothian, Kiptopeke State Park,
Snow Hill, Downing, Margarettsville, Church View, Mineral,
Naylors Beach, Indian Neck, Emmerton, Amelia Courthouse, Maryus,
Plantation, West Point, New Kent Airport, Scotts Fork, Guinea
Mills, Fishermans Island, Brook Vale, Nesting, Owenton,
Lawrenceville, Denaro, Achilles, Reams, South Hill, Lake
Monticello, Potomac Mills, Bavon, Saint Stephens Church, Grafton,
Naxera, Roxbury, Cunningham, Jetersville, Cambridge, Troy,
Dunnsville, Loves Mill, Richmond, Mountcastle, Emporia, Sandston,
Wayside, Exmore, Worshams, Chester, Ethel, Flat Rock, Gwaltney
Corner, Quinton, Orapax Farms, Talleysville, Cheapside, Earls,
Dawn, and Salisbury
236 PM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...For the first Heat Advisory, heat index values up to 109.
  For the second Heat Advisory, heat index values up to 109 expected.

* WHERE...Portions of southeast Maryland, northeast North Carolina,
  and central, east central, eastern, north central, south central,
  and southeast Virginia.

* WHEN...For the first Heat Advisory, until 8 PM EDT this evening.
  For the second Heat Advisory, from 11 AM to 8 PM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat
  illnesses.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of
the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors.

&&

$$

Butner


Park/Ski Recreation Report/Forecast

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