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The Data originates at the National Weather Service, and is made available here by the UAlbany Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences

Surface Observations

KCHO 132253Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 31/15 A2993 RMK AO2 SLP126 T03060150=
KCHO 132353Z 11006KT 10SM SCT070 29/17 A2993 RMK AO2 SLP128 T02890167 10317
 20289 55002=
KCHO 140053Z 12004KT 10SM SCT080 27/16 A2995 RMK AO2 SLP135 T02720161=
KCHO 140153Z 34004KT 10SM CLR 24/17 A2997 RMK AO2 SLP140 T02390172=
KCHO 140253Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 22/18 A2998 RMK AO2 SLP144 T02220178 51016=
KCHO 140353Z AUTO 36003KT 10SM CLR 21/18 A2997 RMK AO2 SLP141 T02060178=
KCHO 140453Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 21/18 A2995 RMK AO2 SLP134 T02110178
 403170183=
KCHO 140553Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 20/17 A2994 RMK AO2 SLP130 T02000172 10289
 20200 58013=
KCHO 140653Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 19/17 A2993 RMK AO2 SLP127 T01940172=
KCHO 140753Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 19/17 A2991 RMK AO2 SLP119 T01890172=
KCHO 140853Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 18/17 A2991 RMK AO2 SLP120 T01830172 56011=
KCHO 140953Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 18/17 A2991 RMK AO2 SLP118 T01830167=
KCHO 141053Z 18004KT 10SM CLR 18/17 A2991 RMK AO2 SLP121 T01780167=
KCHO 141153Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 21/17 A2992 RMK AO2 SLP124 T02060172 10211 20178
 53005=
KCHO 141253Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 23/18 A2992 RMK AO2 SLP122 T02330178=
KCHO 141353Z VRB03KT 10SM CLR 27/18 A2990 RMK AO2 SLP117 T02720183=
KCHO 141453Z 21008KT 10SM CLR 30/17 A2989 RMK AO2 SLP113 T03000172 58011=
KCHO 141553Z 22007KT 190V250 10SM FEW065 32/16 A2988 RMK AO2 SLP109 T03170161=
KCHO 141653Z 20009KT 10SM CLR 32/17 A2985 RMK AO2 SLP099 T03220172=
KCHO 141753Z 20007KT 10SM BKN065 32/17 A2982 RMK AO2 SLP091 T03170167 10333
 20200 58022=
KCHO 141853Z 22007G19KT 150V260 10SM CLR 32/18 A2979 RMK AO2 SLP079 T03220178=
KCHO 141953Z 22009G16KT 170V240 10SM SCT065 34/18 A2976 RMK AO2 SLP068
 T03390183=
KCHO 142053Z 20009G15KT 10SM SCT060 33/18 A2972 RMK AO2 SLP055 T03330183 58035=
KCHO 142153Z 00000KT 10SM FEW100 32/18 A2970 RMK AO2 SLP050 T03170178=

Decoded Surface Observations


The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 06:53 PM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 88F ( 31C)  Dewpoint:  59F ( 15C)  Relative Humidity:  38%
  Winds from the CLM(CLM degs) at  0 mph.
  Pressure: 1012.6 millibars.  Altimeter:29.93 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 07:53 PM EDT was:
  The skies were partly cloudy.
  Temperature: 84F ( 29C)  Dewpoint:  62F ( 17C)  Relative Humidity:  48%
  Winds from the ESE(110 degs) at  7 mph.
  Pressure: 1012.8 millibars.  Altimeter:29.93 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.
  The maximum temperature in the past 6 hours was  89F.
  The minimum temperature in the past 6 hours was  84F.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 08:53 PM EDT was:
  The skies were partly cloudy.
  Temperature: 81F ( 27C)  Dewpoint:  61F ( 16C)  Relative Humidity:  51%
  Winds from the SE (120 degs) at  5 mph.
  Pressure: 1013.5 millibars.  Altimeter:29.95 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 09:53 PM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 75F ( 24C)  Dewpoint:  63F ( 17C)  Relative Humidity:  65%
  Winds from the NNW(340 degs) at  5 mph.
  Pressure: 1014.0 millibars.  Altimeter:29.97 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 10:53 PM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 72F ( 22C)  Dewpoint:  64F ( 18C)  Relative Humidity:  76%
  Winds from the CLM(CLM degs) at  0 mph.
  Pressure: 1014.4 millibars.  Altimeter:29.98 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 11:53 PM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 70F ( 21C)  Dewpoint:  64F ( 18C)  Relative Humidity:  83%
  Winds from the N  (360 degs) at  3 mph.
  Pressure: 1014.1 millibars.  Altimeter:29.97 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 12:53 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 70F ( 21C)  Dewpoint:  64F ( 18C)  Relative Humidity:  81%
  Winds from the CLM(CLM degs) at  0 mph.
  Pressure: 1013.4 millibars.  Altimeter:29.95 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 01:53 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 68F ( 20C)  Dewpoint:  63F ( 17C)  Relative Humidity:  84%
  Winds from the CLM(CLM degs) at  0 mph.
  Pressure: 1013.0 millibars.  Altimeter:29.94 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.
  The maximum temperature in the past 6 hours was  84F.
  The minimum temperature in the past 6 hours was  68F.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 02:53 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 66F ( 19C)  Dewpoint:  63F ( 17C)  Relative Humidity:  88%
  Winds from the CLM(CLM degs) at  0 mph.
  Pressure: 1012.7 millibars.  Altimeter:29.93 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 03:53 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 66F ( 19C)  Dewpoint:  63F ( 17C)  Relative Humidity:  88%
  Winds from the CLM(CLM degs) at  0 mph.
  Pressure: 1011.9 millibars.  Altimeter:29.91 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 04:53 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 65F ( 18C)  Dewpoint:  63F ( 17C)  Relative Humidity:  93%
  Winds from the CLM(CLM degs) at  0 mph.
  Pressure: 1012.0 millibars.  Altimeter:29.91 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 05:53 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 64F ( 18C)  Dewpoint:  63F ( 17C)  Relative Humidity:  94%
  Winds from the CLM(CLM degs) at  0 mph.
  Pressure: 1011.8 millibars.  Altimeter:29.91 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 06:53 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 64F ( 18C)  Dewpoint:  63F ( 17C)  Relative Humidity:  94%
  Winds from the S  (180 degs) at  5 mph.
  Pressure: 1012.1 millibars.  Altimeter:29.91 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 07:53 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 69F ( 21C)  Dewpoint:  63F ( 17C)  Relative Humidity:  81%
  Winds from the CLM(CLM degs) at  0 mph.
  Pressure: 1012.4 millibars.  Altimeter:29.92 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.
  The maximum temperature in the past 6 hours was  70F.
  The minimum temperature in the past 6 hours was  64F.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 08:53 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 73F ( 23C)  Dewpoint:  64F ( 18C)  Relative Humidity:  73%
  Winds from the CLM(CLM degs) at  0 mph.
  Pressure: 1012.2 millibars.  Altimeter:29.92 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 09:53 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 81F ( 27C)  Dewpoint:  64F ( 18C)  Relative Humidity:  58%
  Winds from the VRB(VRB degs) at  3 mph.
  Pressure: 1011.7 millibars.  Altimeter:29.90 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 10:53 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 86F ( 30C)  Dewpoint:  63F ( 17C)  Relative Humidity:  46%
  Winds from the SW (210 degs) at  9 mph.
  Pressure: 1011.3 millibars.  Altimeter:29.89 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 11:53 AM EDT was:
  The skies were mostly clear.
  Temperature: 90F ( 32C)  Dewpoint:  61F ( 16C)  Relative Humidity:  38%
  Winds from the SW (220 degs) at  8 mph.
  Pressure: 1010.9 millibars.  Altimeter:29.88 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 12:53 PM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 90F ( 32C)  Dewpoint:  63F ( 17C)  Relative Humidity:  41%
  Winds from the SSW(200 degs) at 10 mph.
  Pressure: 1009.9 millibars.  Altimeter:29.85 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 01:53 PM EDT was:
  The skies were mostly cloudy.
  Temperature: 89F ( 32C)  Dewpoint:  62F ( 17C)  Relative Humidity:  41%
  Winds from the SSW(200 degs) at  8 mph.
  Pressure: 1009.1 millibars.  Altimeter:29.82 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.
  The maximum temperature in the past 6 hours was  92F.
  The minimum temperature in the past 6 hours was  68F.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 02:53 PM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 90F ( 32C)  Dewpoint:  64F ( 18C)  Relative Humidity:  43%
  Winds from the SW (220 degs) at  8 mph.
  Pressure: 1007.9 millibars.  Altimeter:29.79 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 03:53 PM EDT was:
  The skies were partly cloudy.
  Temperature: 93F ( 34C)  Dewpoint:  64F ( 18C)  Relative Humidity:  39%
  Winds from the SW (220 degs) at 10 mph.
  Pressure: 1006.8 millibars.  Altimeter:29.76 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 04:53 PM EDT was:
  The skies were partly cloudy.
  Temperature: 92F ( 33C)  Dewpoint:  65F ( 18C)  Relative Humidity:  41%
  Winds from the SSW(200 degs) at 10 mph.
  Pressure: 1005.5 millibars.  Altimeter:29.72 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 05:53 PM EDT was:
  The skies were mostly clear.
  Temperature: 90F ( 32C)  Dewpoint:  64F ( 18C)  Relative Humidity:  43%
  Winds from the CLM(CLM degs) at  0 mph.
  Pressure: 1005.0 millibars.  Altimeter:29.70 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

Short Range Forecast

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Zone Forecast

VAZ037-150100-
Albemarle-
Including the cities of Charlottesville and Overton
500 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 335 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

.REST OF THIS AFTERNOON...Partly sunny with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Southwest winds around
10 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.
.TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms in
the evening. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph,
becoming west after midnight. Chance of rain 50 percent.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming
mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Hot with highs in the mid 90s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Chance of rain 50 percent.
.JUNETEENTH...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of rain 50 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.


VAZ037-150800-
Albemarle-
Including the cities of Charlottesville and Overton
504 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 335 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

.TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
this evening. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph,
becoming west after midnight. Chance of rain 50 percent.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming
mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Hot with highs in the mid 90s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Chance of rain 50 percent.
.JUNETEENTH...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of rain 50 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s.


State Forecast

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State Forecast Discussion

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GFS Short-Range Model Output Statistics (MOS) Forecast

KCHO   GFS MOS GUIDANCE    6/14/2026  1800 UTC
DT /JUNE 15                  /JUNE 16                /JUNE 17
HR   00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 12 18
N/X              67          85          58          83       62
TMP  86 77 72 69 72 79 81 82 75 68 64 61 64 74 80 82 77 70 67 68 88
DPT  67 65 61 60 60 56 53 51 51 52 51 49 51 51 52 54 56 58 57 58 58
CLD  OV OV OV BK CL CL SC SC CL CL FW BK FW CL BK BK BK OV OV CL SC
WDR  22 20 28 34 01 35 31 33 35 35 01 02 04 11 17 17 16 14 11 21 22
WSP  06 03 02 05 07 08 06 10 04 02 02 02 02 04 06 10 07 06 03 01 10
P06        30     0     2     2     3     2     6     6     9  3  2
P12              30           3           4           7        9
Q06         0     0     0     0     0     0     0     0     0  0  0
Q12               0           0           0           0        0
T06     18/ 7  0/ 0  0/ 3  1/13  2/10  0/ 3  2/ 6 13/27 10/16  4/ 5
T12                  0/ 3        2/16        2/ 9       15/29  4/ 6
CIG   7  7  7  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8
VIS   7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7
OBV   N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N

GFS Long-Range Model Output Statistics (MOS) Forecast

KCHO   GFSX MOS GUIDANCE   6/14/2026  1200 UTC
FHR  24  36| 48  60| 72  84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192
     MON 15| TUE 16| WED 17| THU 18| FRI 19| SAT 20| SUN 21|MON CLIMO
N/X  64  85| 57  82| 63  93| 72  95| 71  87| 60  81| 60  86| 65 62 84
TMP  69  76| 63  76| 68  83| 78  88| 76  77| 66  73| 66  79| 70
DPT  58  51| 50  55| 58  60| 66  68| 64  60| 54  52| 56  59| 61
CLD  OV  CL| PC  PC| PC  PC| OV  PC| OV  PC| CL  CL| CL  CL| PC
WND   7   9|  3   9|  7  13| 11  17| 15  10|  7  12|  5  13| 12
P12  27   3|  8   8| 16  18| 19  31| 36  33|  8   4|  7  20| 24999999
P24      33|     11|     28|     43|     40|     12|     20|      999
Q12   0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  1   0|  0   0|       |
Q24       0|      0|      0|      0|      0|      0|       |
T12  13   0|  0  17| 15  24| 20  37| 27  30|  7   8|  8  21| 16
T24        |  3    | 19    | 24    | 37    | 30    | 20    | 27

NGM Model Output Statistics (MOS) Forecast

Climatological Summary

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Watch and Warning Statment

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Park/Ski Recreation Report/Forecast

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