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The Data originates at the National Weather Service, and is made available here by the UAlbany Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences

Surface Observations

KCHO 151953Z 20009KT 10SM FEW085 37/18 A2988 RMK AO2 SLP107 T03720183 $=
KCHO 152053Z 02003KT 10SM BKN095 BKN110 34/18 A2986 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT NE
 RAB07E49 SLP103 P0000 60000 T03390178 56023 $=
KCHO 152140Z 08013G20KT 1 3/4SM -RA FEW034 SCT075 BKN095 30/20 A2989 RMK AO2
 RAB37 P0007 T03000200 $=
KCHO 152149Z 11007G22KT 4SM -RA SCT031 SCT075 BKN090 30/21 A2986 RMK AO2 RAB37
 P0007 $=
KCHO 152153Z 10005KT 10SM -RA FEW031 SCT075 BKN090 31/21 A2986 RMK AO2 RAB37
 SLP102 P0007 T03060211 $=
KCHO 152253Z AUTO 08005KT 10SM OVC095 32/22 A2987 RMK AO2 RAE2154 SLP104 P0000
 T03170217 $=
KCHO 152353Z 35004KT 10SM CLR 29/22 A2988 RMK AO2 SLP108 60007 T02890217 10372
 20289 53005 $=
KCHO 160053Z 34003KT 10SM CLR 27/21 A2990 RMK AO2 SLP114 T02670206 $=
KCHO 160153Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 26/21 A2990 RMK AO2 SLP116 T02610211 $=
KCHO 160253Z AUTO 20005KT 10SM CLR 27/21 A2989 RMK AO2 SLP112 T02670211 50004 $=
KCHO 160353Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 24/22 A2987 RMK AO2 SLP104 T02440217 $=
KCHO 160453Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 23/21 A2987 RMK AO2 SLP104 T02330211
 403720233 $=
KCHO 160553Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 23/21 A2987 RMK AO2 SLP105 T02330211 10289
 20228 55007 $=
KCHO 160653Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 24/21 A2987 RMK AO2 SLP105 T02390211 $=
KCHO 160753Z AUTO 23003KT 10SM CLR 24/21 A2988 RMK AO2 SLP108 T02390211 $=
KCHO 160853Z AUTO 19003KT 10SM CLR 24/21 A2988 RMK AO2 SLP109 T02390206 53004 $=
KCHO 160953Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 24/21 A2988 RMK AO2 SLP111 T02390206 $=
KCHO 161053Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 24/21 A2990 RMK AO2 SLP116 T02440206 $=
KCHO 161153Z 20003KT 10SM CLR 27/22 A2991 RMK AO2 SLP120 70007 T02720217 10272
 20228 53011 $=
KCHO 161253Z 20003KT 10SM CLR 30/22 A2991 RMK AO2 SLP118 T03000217 $=
KCHO 161353Z 20006KT 10SM CLR 32/21 A2991 RMK AO2 SLP118 T03220211 $=
KCHO 161453Z 22006KT 10SM CLR 34/21 A2990 RMK AO2 SLP116 T03390206 57004 $=
KCHO 161553Z 21007G16KT 10SM CLR 35/20 A2990 RMK AO2 SLP116 T03500200 $=
KCHO 161653Z 10SM CLR 36/20 A2987 RMK AO2 SLP107 T03610200 $=
KCHO 161753Z 21011G18KT 10SM CLR 37/20 A2985 RMK AO2 SLP097 T03670200 10372
 20272 58018 $=
KCHO 161853Z AUTO 20010G17KT 10SM FEW075 36/19 A2983 RMK AO2 SLP092 T03610194 $=

Decoded Surface Observations


The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 03:53 PM EDT was:
  The skies were mostly clear.
  Temperature: 99F ( 37C)  Dewpoint:  65F ( 18C)  Relative Humidity:  33%
  Winds from the SSW(200 degs) at 10 mph.
  Pressure: 1010.7 millibars.  Altimeter:29.88 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 04:53 PM EDT was:
  The skies were mostly cloudy.
  Temperature: 93F ( 34C)  Dewpoint:  64F ( 18C)  Relative Humidity:  38%
  Winds from the NNE(020 degs) at  3 mph.
  Pressure: 1010.3 millibars.  Altimeter:29.86 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.
  There has been 0.00 inches of precipitation in the past hour.
  There has been 0.00 inches of precipitation in the past 6 hours.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 05:40 PM EDT was:
  The skies were mostly cloudy.
  The weather reported was light rain.
  Temperature: 86F ( 30C)  Dewpoint:  68F ( 20C)  Relative Humidity:  55%
  Winds from the E  (080 degs) at 15 mph.
  Altimeter:29.89 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 1.75 miles.
  There has been 0.07 inches of precipitation in the past hour.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 05:49 PM EDT was:
  The skies were mostly cloudy.
  The weather reported was light rain.
  Temperature: 86F ( 30C)  Dewpoint:  70F ( 21C)  Relative Humidity:  59%
  Winds from the ESE(110 degs) at  8 mph.
  Altimeter:29.86 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 4 miles.
  There has been 0.07 inches of precipitation in the past hour.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 05:53 PM EDT was:
  The skies were mostly cloudy.
  The weather reported was light rain.
  Temperature: 87F ( 31C)  Dewpoint:  70F ( 21C)  Relative Humidity:  57%
  Winds from the E  (100 degs) at  6 mph.
  Pressure: 1010.2 millibars.  Altimeter:29.86 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.
  There has been 0.07 inches of precipitation in the past hour.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 06:53 PM EDT was:
  The skies were cloudy.
  Temperature: 89F ( 32C)  Dewpoint:  71F ( 22C)  Relative Humidity:  55%
  Winds from the E  (080 degs) at  6 mph.
  Pressure: 1010.4 millibars.  Altimeter:29.87 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.
  There has been 0.00 inches of precipitation in the past hour.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 07:53 PM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 84F ( 29C)  Dewpoint:  71F ( 22C)  Relative Humidity:  65%
  Winds from the N  (350 degs) at  5 mph.
  Pressure: 1010.8 millibars.  Altimeter:29.88 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.
  The maximum temperature in the past 6 hours was  99F.
  The minimum temperature in the past 6 hours was  84F.
  There has been 0.07 inches of precipitation in the past 6 hours.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 08:53 PM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 80F ( 27C)  Dewpoint:  69F ( 21C)  Relative Humidity:  69%
  Winds from the NNW(340 degs) at  3 mph.
  Pressure: 1011.4 millibars.  Altimeter:29.90 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 09:53 PM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 79F ( 26C)  Dewpoint:  70F ( 21C)  Relative Humidity:  74%
  Winds from the CLM(CLM degs) at  0 mph.
  Pressure: 1011.6 millibars.  Altimeter:29.90 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 10:53 PM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 80F ( 27C)  Dewpoint:  70F ( 21C)  Relative Humidity:  71%
  Winds from the SSW(200 degs) at  6 mph.
  Pressure: 1011.2 millibars.  Altimeter:29.89 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 11:53 PM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 76F ( 24C)  Dewpoint:  71F ( 22C)  Relative Humidity:  85%
  Winds from the CLM(CLM degs) at  0 mph.
  Pressure: 1010.4 millibars.  Altimeter:29.87 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 12:53 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 74F ( 23C)  Dewpoint:  70F ( 21C)  Relative Humidity:  87%
  Winds from the CLM(CLM degs) at  0 mph.
  Pressure: 1010.4 millibars.  Altimeter:29.87 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.
  The maximum temperature in the past 24 hours was  99F.
  The minimum temperature in the past 24 hours was  74F.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 01:53 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 74F ( 23C)  Dewpoint:  70F ( 21C)  Relative Humidity:  87%
  Winds from the CLM(CLM degs) at  0 mph.
  Pressure: 1010.5 millibars.  Altimeter:29.87 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.
  The maximum temperature in the past 6 hours was  84F.
  The minimum temperature in the past 6 hours was  73F.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 02:53 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 75F ( 24C)  Dewpoint:  70F ( 21C)  Relative Humidity:  84%
  Winds from the CLM(CLM degs) at  0 mph.
  Pressure: 1010.5 millibars.  Altimeter:29.87 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 03:53 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 75F ( 24C)  Dewpoint:  70F ( 21C)  Relative Humidity:  84%
  Winds from the SW (230 degs) at  3 mph.
  Pressure: 1010.8 millibars.  Altimeter:29.88 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 04:53 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 75F ( 24C)  Dewpoint:  69F ( 21C)  Relative Humidity:  82%
  Winds from the S  (190 degs) at  3 mph.
  Pressure: 1010.9 millibars.  Altimeter:29.88 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 05:53 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 75F ( 24C)  Dewpoint:  69F ( 21C)  Relative Humidity:  82%
  Winds from the CLM(CLM degs) at  0 mph.
  Pressure: 1011.1 millibars.  Altimeter:29.88 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 06:53 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 76F ( 24C)  Dewpoint:  69F ( 21C)  Relative Humidity:  79%
  Winds from the CLM(CLM degs) at  0 mph.
  Pressure: 1011.6 millibars.  Altimeter:29.90 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 07:53 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 81F ( 27C)  Dewpoint:  71F ( 22C)  Relative Humidity:  72%
  Winds from the SSW(200 degs) at  3 mph.
  Pressure: 1012.0 millibars.  Altimeter:29.91 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.
  The maximum temperature in the past 6 hours was  81F.
  The minimum temperature in the past 6 hours was  73F.
  There has been 0.07 inches of precipitation in the past 24 hours.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 08:53 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 86F ( 30C)  Dewpoint:  71F ( 22C)  Relative Humidity:  61%
  Winds from the SSW(200 degs) at  3 mph.
  Pressure: 1011.8 millibars.  Altimeter:29.91 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 09:53 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 90F ( 32C)  Dewpoint:  70F ( 21C)  Relative Humidity:  52%
  Winds from the SSW(200 degs) at  7 mph.
  Pressure: 1011.8 millibars.  Altimeter:29.91 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 10:53 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 93F ( 34C)  Dewpoint:  69F ( 21C)  Relative Humidity:  46%
  Winds from the SW (220 degs) at  7 mph.
  Pressure: 1011.6 millibars.  Altimeter:29.90 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 11:53 AM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 95F ( 35C)  Dewpoint:  68F ( 20C)  Relative Humidity:  42%
  Winds from the SW (210 degs) at  8 mph.
  Pressure: 1011.6 millibars.  Altimeter:29.90 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 12:53 PM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 97F ( 36C)  Dewpoint:  68F ( 20C)  Relative Humidity:  39%
  Winds were not reported.
  Pressure: 1010.7 millibars.  Altimeter:29.87 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 01:53 PM EDT was:
  The skies were clear.
  Temperature: 98F ( 37C)  Dewpoint:  68F ( 20C)  Relative Humidity:  38%
  Winds from the SW (210 degs) at 13 mph.
  Pressure: 1009.7 millibars.  Altimeter:29.85 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.
  The maximum temperature in the past 6 hours was  99F.
  The minimum temperature in the past 6 hours was  81F.

The weather observed at CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (KCHO) at 02:53 PM EDT was:
  The skies were mostly clear.
  Temperature: 97F ( 36C)  Dewpoint:  67F ( 19C)  Relative Humidity:  38%
  Winds from the SSW(200 degs) at 12 mph.
  Pressure: 1009.2 millibars.  Altimeter:29.83 inches of mercury.
  The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

Short Range Forecast

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Zone Forecast

VAZ037-162300-
Albemarle-
Including the city of Charlottesville
344 PM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

.REST OF THIS AFTERNOON...Mostly sunny with scattered showers
with isolated thunderstorms. Hot with highs around 100. Southwest
winds around 10 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Chance of rain
50 percent.
.TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms in the evening, then partly cloudy after midnight.
Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain
50 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Numerous showers and scattered
thunderstorms in the afternoon. Hot with highs in the upper 90s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent. Heat
index values up to 108.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers and
thunderstorms, mainly in the evening. Lows in the lower 70s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph, becoming west after midnight. Chance
of rain 70 percent.
.THURSDAY...Numerous showers. Scattered thunderstorms in the
afternoon. Highs in the mid 80s. North winds around 5 mph. Chance
of rain 70 percent.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of rain 50 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of rain 40 percent.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 40 percent.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of rain 50 percent.


State Forecast

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State Forecast Discussion

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GFS Short-Range Model Output Statistics (MOS) Forecast

KCHO   GFS MOS GUIDANCE    7/16/2024  1200 UTC
DT /JULY 16/JULY 17                /JULY 18                /JULY 19
HR   18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 06 12
N/X                    77          96          74          88    65
TMP  99100 92 85 82 79 83 91 94 92 86 79 76 76 77 82 85 85 79 70 69
DPT  68 67 68 69 68 68 70 70 69 69 71 71 69 68 68 68 67 66 67 63 61
CLD  SC FW BK BK SC SC SC SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK FW
WDR  21 21 22 24 24 20 20 21 21 21 22 20 25 28 03 03 05 07 05 35 03
WSP  10 11 05 05 02 01 03 07 09 13 06 02 01 01 02 04 06 05 02 02 04
P06         2     8     6     3    56    31    20    23    23 13  4
P12                    10          66          43          39    16
Q06         0     0     0     0     3     0     0     0     0  0  0
Q12                     0           3           1           0     0
T06     25/19 17/ 7  2/ 0  3/ 6 52/30 18/ 6  3/ 1  9/ 4 22/15  1/ 0
T12           35/26        3/ 7       52/30       11/ 5    25/16
CIG   8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  7  6  7  6  6  6  7  7  8  7  8
VIS   7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  2  2  5  7  7  7  7  6  7
OBV   N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N FG BR HZ  N  N  N  N BR  N

GFS Long-Range Model Output Statistics (MOS) Forecast

KCHO   GFSX MOS GUIDANCE   7/16/2024  1200 UTC
FHR  24  36| 48  60| 72  84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192
     WED 17| THU 18| FRI 19| SAT 20| SUN 21| MON 22| TUE 23|WED CLIMO
N/X  77  96| 74  88| 65  88| 69  89| 70  91| 70  91| 70  89| 71 65 87
TMP  83  86| 77  79| 69  81| 74  81| 75  82| 74  81| 75  80| 75
DPT  70  71| 68  67| 61  64| 66  68| 68  69| 68  69| 68  70| 70
CLD  PC  OV| OV  OV| PC  PC| OV  OV| OV  OV| OV  OV| OV  OV| OV
WND   5  13|  6   6|  4   6|  4   7|  3   5|  3   5|  3   6|  4
P12  10  66| 43  39| 16  13| 12  32| 27  39| 28  37| 26  38| 30999999
P24      66|     54|     21|     32|     47|     50|     56|      999
Q12   0   3|  1   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   1|  0   2|       |
Q24       2|      1|      0|      0|      1|      2|       |
T12  17  52| 18  25| 11  15|  5  23| 14  35| 20  35| 19  34| 14
T24        | 52    | 25    | 15    | 29    | 40    | 39    | 35

NGM Model Output Statistics (MOS) Forecast

Climatological Summary

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Watch and Warning Statment

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Park/Ski Recreation Report/Forecast

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