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Decoded Surface Observations
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Short Range Forecast
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Zone Forecast
VAZ020-151800- Bath- Including the city of Hot Springs 502 AM EST Wed Jan 15 2025 ...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... .TODAY...Sunny, cold with highs in the mid 20s. West winds 5 to 10 mph. Wind chill values as low as 8 below this morning. .TONIGHT...Mostly clear. Cold with lows around 9 above. West winds 5 to 10 mph. Wind chill values as low as 1 below. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny in the morning, then becoming mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cold with lows in the lower 20s. West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds around 5 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in the morning. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Cold with lows in the mid 20s. .SATURDAY...Snow with a chance of freezing rain. A chance of sleet in the morning, then rain likely in the afternoon. Little or no snow accumulation. Highs in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow in the evening. Cold with lows in the upper 20s. Chance of snow 30 percent. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of snow and rain. Highs in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow in the evening, then partly cloudy after midnight. Much colder with lows around 10 above. Chance of snow 40 percent. Wind chill values as low as zero. .MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cold. Highs 15 to 20. Lows 5 below to zero. Wind chill values as low as 15 below. .TUESDAY...Sunny, cold with highs 10 to 15. VAZ020-151800- Bath- Including the city of Hot Springs 532 AM EST Wed Jan 15 2025 ...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... .TODAY...Sunny, cold with highs in the mid 20s. West winds 5 to 10 mph. Wind chill values as low as 8 below this morning. .TONIGHT...Mostly clear. Cold with lows around 9 above. West winds 5 to 10 mph. Wind chill values as low as 1 below. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny in the morning, then becoming mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cold with lows in the lower 20s. West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds around 5 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in the morning. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Cold with lows in the mid 20s. .SATURDAY...Snow with a chance of freezing rain. A chance of sleet in the morning, then rain likely in the afternoon. Little or no snow accumulation. Highs in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow in the evening. Cold with lows in the upper 20s. Chance of snow 30 percent. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of snow and rain. Highs in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow in the evening, then partly cloudy after midnight. Much colder with lows around 10 above. Chance of snow 40 percent. Wind chill values as low as zero. .MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cold. Highs 15 to 20. Lows 5 below to zero. Wind chill values as low as 15 below. .TUESDAY...Sunny, cold with highs 10 to 15.
State Forecast
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State Forecast Discussion
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GFS Short-Range Model Output Statistics (MOS) Forecast
KHSP GFS MOS GUIDANCE 1/15/2025 0600 UTC DT /JAN 15 /JAN 16 /JAN 17 / HR 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 00 06 X/N 18 12 32 20 33 TMP 4 9 15 16 14 12 12 15 17 23 30 29 27 25 23 23 22 24 30 30 31 DPT 1 3 4 4 6 6 6 8 10 16 18 19 21 22 22 22 21 20 19 19 19 CLD FW CL CL CL CL CL CL SC OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV BK SC CL CL OV WDR 29 29 28 28 28 27 26 27 26 26 26 27 28 28 29 29 28 27 25 20 21 WSP 10 09 08 09 10 11 11 13 15 16 18 18 22 23 18 15 09 07 04 06 09 P06 0 0 0 0 29 37 24 6 0 2 6 P12 1 0 40 24 2 Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Q12 0 0 0 0 0 T06 0/ 8 0/ 1 0/ 0 0/ 7 0/ 2 1/ 6 0/ 6 0/ 8 0/ 6 0/ 0 T12 1/ 1 0/ 7 2/10 0/ 8 0/ 0 POZ 1 0 0 1 1 1 2 3 5 2 2 0 0 1 0 0 5 2 2 5 12 POS 99100100 99 99 99 98 98 95 98 93 69 94 99 99 97 95 90 68 47 52 TYP S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S SNW 0 0 CIG 8 8 8 8 8 1 1 8 7 6 6 5 6 1 6 1 8 8 8 8 1 VIS 7 1 1 7 7 7 7 7 7 1 1 1 7 2 7 7 7 1 7 7 7 OBV N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N
GFS Long-Range Model Output Statistics (MOS) Forecast
KHSP GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 1/15/2025 0000 UTC FHR 24| 36 48| 60 72| 84 96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192 WED 15| THU 16| FRI 17| SAT 18| SUN 19| MON 20| TUE 21| WED 22 CLIMO X/N 18| 12 31| 20 33| 29 39| 25 29| 6 12| -1 15| 8 24 20 40 TMP 14| 18 26| 22 31| 32 36| 26 21| 6 6| 1 11| 13 20 DPT 6| 9 17| 20 22| 24 34| 24 16| 2 0| -3 3| 2 9 CLD CL| PC OV| PC CL| OV OV| OV OV| OV PC| PC PC| OV PC WND 11| 14 22| 22 10| 12 11| 12 13| 23 23| 19 18| 15 22 P12 3| 3 44| 24 2| 16 78| 39 41| 35 16| 13 17| 12 19999999 P24 | 47| 28| 78| 69| 50| 20| 27 999 Q12 0| 0 1| 0 0| 0 2| 1 1| 0 0| 0 | Q24 | 1| 0| 2| 1| 1| | T12 0| 0 1| 0 0| 1 0| 1 0| 1 0| 0 0| 0 0 T24 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 PZP 3| 4 4| 0 4| 20 18| 0 6| 7 6| 6 10| 10 11 PSN 97| 96 89| 81 82| 37 5| 19 57| 80 88| 86 81| 69 71 PRS 0| 0 7| 16 0| 0 14| 13 20| 8 3| 3 4| 4 8 TYP S| S S| S S| S R| R S| S S| S S| S Z SNW | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| |
NGM Model Output Statistics (MOS) Forecast
Climatological Summary
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Watch and Warning Statment
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Park/Ski Recreation Report/Forecast
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