The pattern is ideal for the NCEP models as the GEFS is showing a huge closed 100 mm  with some smaller 125 and 150 mm contours in the west for total QPF.
 High plume of moisture, westerly winds, big mountains and models know big QPF.
 Should be iteresting.
 Anyone have access to the EFI. This must be a top 80 or 90 percentile rainfall event in the model atmosphere. We need to know.
 Rich

On Sat, Jan 14, 2012 at 7:55 PM, Sheldon Kusselson <sheldon.kusselson@noaa.gov <mailto:sheldon.kusselson@noaa.gov>> wrote:

   Fred and others:

   To add to the discussion....attached a powerpoint slide I made
   showing the NOAA/NESDIS Blended TPW data and Percent of Normal
   products for 23 UTC January 14 showing the moisture players that are
   certainly getting organized this evening across the Pacific Ocean.
    Interesting moisture plume/atmospheric river extending from the
   Philippines to front just wast of the dateline and extending to near
   high moisture north of Hawaii.  If this works out, it will be more
   than a pineapple connection...it could be the Southeast
   Asia/Philippines mango-pineapple connection.
   Sheldon Kusselson
   NOAA/NESDIS

   On 1/14/2012 23:41, Fred Carr wrote:

       Or one could look at Squaw Valley web cams to get a closer look:
        http://www.squaw.com/high-__camp-cam
       <http://www.squaw.com/high-camp-cam>.   Pretty sad sight for skiers!

       Fred


       On Jan 13, 2012, at 6:07 PM, Alexander Tardy wrote:

           The incoming jet may be a little surprised to see the Sierra
           Nevada (snow covered mountains) looking different.




           --             Alex Tardy
           Warning Coordination Meteorologist
           National Weather Service, San Diego

           <nsm_depth_2012011305
           <tel:2012011305>_Western_Coastal.__jpg><MODISjan13.JPG>






--
*/Life is a journey not a destination./*

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