NPJ Phase Diagram Verification

This work is supported by NOAA Grant NA15NWS4680006

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Phase Diagram (left): Shows (1) the GFS deterministic and GEFS mean forecast trajectories through the phase diagram initialized on the day listed in the title of the phase diagram, with the analysis trajectory overlaid in black, (2) the GEFS probabilistic forecast trajectory through the phase diagram initialized on the day listed in the title of the phase diagram, with the analysis trajectory overlaid in yellow, and (3) the ensemble spread of the GEFS 9-day forecast initialized on the day listed in the title, with the analysis plotted as a black circle.