Sunday,
29 September 2019
Dinner (6:30–8:00 PM)
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Monday, 30
September 2019
Breakfast (7:00–8:00 AM)
Session 1: Extratropical Cyclone Structure and Dynamics: Part I
(8:00–10:00 AM)
Chair: Michael Riemer
|
Time |
Author(s) |
Title |
Presentation |
|
8:00–8:40 |
Spengler |
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|
8:40–9:00 |
Raveh-Rubin and Catto |
Climatology
and Dynamics of the Link Between Dry Intrusions and Cold Fronts |
|
|
9:00–9:20 |
Tochimoto and Niino |
Structures
of Extratropical Cyclones Developing in Pacific Storm Track |
|
|
9:20–9:40 |
Sinclair and Dacre |
Poleward
Moisture Transport by Extratropical Cyclones in the Southern Hemisphere |
|
|
9:40–10:00 |
Discussion |
|
|
Break (10:00–10:30 AM)
Session 2: Jet Dynamics and Diagnostics (10:30 AM–12:10 PM)
Chair: Victoria Sinclair
|
Time |
Author(s) |
Title |
Presentation |
|
10:30–10:50 |
Breeden and Martin |
Evidence for Nonlinear Processes in
Fostering a North Pacific Jet Retraction |
|
|
10:50–11:10 |
Finocchio and Doyle |
||
|
11:10–11:30 |
Madsen and Martin |
Exploring Characteristic Intraseasonal
Transitions of the Wintertime Pacific Jet Stream |
|
|
11:30–11:50 |
Winters et al. |
The Role of Subsidence during the Development
of North American Polar/Subtropical Jet Superpositions |
|
|
11:50–12:10 |
Discussion |
|
|
Lunch (12:10–1:10 PM)
Session 3: Rossby Waves (1:10–3:10 PM)
Chair: Annika Oertel
|
Time |
Author(s) |
Title |
Presentation |
|
1:10–1:30 |
Röthlisberger et al. |
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|
1:30–1:50 |
Ali et al. |
||
|
1:50–2:10 |
Riboldi et al. |
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|
2:10–2:30 |
Sussman et al. |
Trends
in Northern Midlatitude Atmospheric Wave Power from 1950–2099 |
|
|
2:30–2:50 |
Bowley and Gervais |
Rossby
Wave Breaking Through the 21st Century in a Global Climate Model |
|
|
2:50–3:10 |
Discussion |
|
|
Break (3:10–3:30 PM)
Session 4: Tropical–Extratropical Interactions (3:30 PM–5:30 PM)
Chair: Ajay Raghavendra
|
Time |
Author(s) |
Title |
Presentation |
|
3:30–3:50 |
Mitchell and Bosart |
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|
3:50–4:10 |
Rantanen et al. |
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|
4:10–4:30 |
Tripoli |
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|
4:30–4:50 |
Prince and Evans |
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|
4:50–5:10 |
Discussion |
|
|
Ice Breaker (5:10–6:30 PM)
With remembrances of Fuqing Zhang
Dinner (6:30–8:00 PM)
Poster Session 1 (8:00–10:00 PM)
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Tuesday,
1 October 2019
Breakfast (7:00–8:00 AM)
Session 5: Tropical Cyclone Genesis, Structure, and Intensity
Change (8:00–10:00 AM)
Chair: Brian Tang
|
Time |
Author(s) |
Title |
Presentation |
|
8:00–8:20 |
Kilroy et al |
||
|
8:20–8:40 |
Alland et al. |
Synergistic
Effects of Midlevel Dry Air and Vertical Wind Shear on Tropical Cyclone
Development |
|
|
8:40–9:00 |
Mazza and Chen |
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|
9:00–9:20 |
Fischer et al. |
The
Rapid Intensification and Eyewall Replacement Cycles of Hurricane Irma (2017) |
|
|
9:20–9:40 |
Rivoire |
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|
9:40–10:00 |
Discussion |
|
|
Break (10:00–10:30 AM)
Session 6: Stratospheric Dynamics (10:30 AM–12:10 PM)
Chair: Andrea Lang
|
Time |
Author(s) |
Title |
Presentation |
|
10:30–10:50 |
Panhans and Lang |
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|
10:50–11:10 |
Colucci et al. |
||
|
11:10–11:30 |
Main and Lang |
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|
11:30–11:50 |
Paquette and Lang |
Examining
the Relationship Between Tropopause Polar Vortices and the Stratospheric
Polar Vortex |
|
|
11:50–12:10 |
Discussion |
|
|
Lunch (12:10–1:10 PM)
Session 7: Extratropical Cyclone Hazards: Winds (1:10–3:10 PM)
Chair: Andrew Winters
|
Time |
Author(s) |
Title |
Presentation |
|
1:10–1:30 |
Angus and Leckebusch |
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|
1:30–1:50 |
Pantillon et al. |
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|
1:50–2:10 |
Spensberger and Schemm |
The
Poisonous Tail of the New Year’s Day Storm 1992: How Orography Shaped the
Fronts during Landfall |
|
|
2:10–2:30 |
Eisenstein et al. |
The
Impact of Topography on the Dynamics of Sting-Jet Storm "Egon" over
Continental Europe |
|
|
2:30–2:50 |
Gray et al. |
Sting
Jet Enhancement through Mesoscale Instability Release in Case Study and
Idealised Simulations |
|
|
2:50–3:10 |
Discussion |
|
|
Break (3:10–3:30 PM)
Session 8: Tropical Cyclone Size and Winds (3:30–5:10 PM)
Chair: Dan Stern
|
Time |
Author(s) |
Title |
Presentation |
|
3:30–3:50 |
Chavas and Reed |
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|
3:50–4:10 |
Chen and Chavas |
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|
4:10–4:30 |
Cione et al. |
||
|
4:30–4:50 |
Bryan et al. |
A
Mechanism for Extraordinary Wind Gusts in Tropical Cyclones |
|
|
4:50–5:10 |
Discussion |
|
|
Recreation (5:10–6:30 PM)
Dinner (6:30–8:00 PM)
Evening Session (8:00–10:00 PM)
Education in Atmospheric Science: How to
Train a Scientist We All Want to Work with
Panelists: Dan Chavas,
Suzanne Gray, Kelly Lombardo, Jon Martin, Michael Riemer
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Wednesday,
2 October 2019
Breakfast (7:00–8:00 AM)
Session 9: Extratropical Predictability: Part I (8:00–10:00 AM)
Chair: Maxi Böttcher
|
Time |
Author(s) |
Title |
Presentation |
|
8:00–8:20 |
Hoover et al. |
Sensitivity
Diagnosis of the Development of a November 2018 East Coast Cyclone Event |
|
|
8:20–8:40 |
Doyle et al. |
Waveguide
Seeds, Sensitivity, and Predictability during NAWDEX |
|
|
8:40–9:00 |
Berman and Torn |
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|
9:00–9:20 |
Riemer et al. |
||
|
9:20–9:40 |
Dafis et al. |
Deep
Moist Convection in Tropical-Like Mediterranean Cyclones and Evaluation of
Numerical Guidance |
|
|
9:40–10:00 |
Discussion |
|
|
Break (10:00–10:30 AM)
Session 10: Extratropical Predictability: Part II (10:30 AM–12:10
PM)
Chair: Gwendal Rivière
|
Time |
Author(s) |
Title |
Presentation |
|
10:30–10:50 |
Keil et al. |
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|
10:50–11:10 |
Hewson et al. |
||
|
11:10–11:30 |
Pinto et al. |
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|
11:30–11:50 |
Anderson-Frey and Gallo |
EnSOMble
Forecasting: Leveraging Self-Organizing Maps for Tornado Threat Modeling |
|
|
11:50–12:10 |
Discussion |
|
|
Lunch (12:10–1:10 PM)
Session 11: Extratropical Cyclone Hazards: Precipitation and
Convection (1:10–3:10 PM)
Chair: Stephan Pfahl
|
Time |
Author(s) |
Title |
Presentation |
|
1:10–1:30 |
McCray et al. |
Synoptic–Dynamic
Modulations of Freezing Rain Event Duration |
|
|
1:30–1:50 |
Melamed-Turkish |
A
Precipitation Climatology Based on the Quasigeostrophic Omega Equation |
|
|
1:50–2:10 |
Moore et al. |
Dynamics
and Predictability of Extreme Precipitation Events along the U.S. West Coast |
|
|
2:10–2:30 |
Lombardo and Wu |
Dynamics
of Mesoscale Convective Systems over Varying Surface Topography |
|
|
2:30–2:50 |
Halbert and Orf |
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|
2:50–3:10 |
Discussion
|
|
|
Break (3:10–3:30 PM)
Session 12: TPVs and Polar Meteorology (3:30–5:10 PM)
Chair: Christian Grams
|
Time |
Author(s) |
Title |
Presentation |
|
3:30–3:50 |
Riedel and Cavallo |
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|
3:50–4:10 |
Biernat et al. |
||
|
4:10–4:30 |
Capute and Torn |
A
Comparison of the Predictability of Arctic and Atlantic Basin Cyclones |
|
|
4:30–4:50 |
Stern et al. |
||
|
4:50–5:10 |
Discussion |
|
|
Recreation (5:10–6:30 PM)
Dinner (6:30–8:00 PM)
Poster Session 2 (8:00–10:00 PM)
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Thursday,
3 October 2019
Breakfast (7:00–8:00 AM)
Session 13: Tropical Cyclone Predictability: Part I (8:00–10:00
AM)
Chair: Ron McTaggart–Cowan
|
Time |
Author(s) |
Title |
Presentation |
|
8:00–8:20 |
Camargo et al. |
||
|
8:20–8:40 |
Rios-Berrios |
Subseasonal
Variability of Tropical Cyclones Deduced from Storm-Resolving Aquaplanet
Simulations |
|
|
8:40–9:00 |
Zhang et al. |
||
|
9:00–9:20 |
Papin et al. |
Linkages
between PV Streamer Activity and Tropical Cyclone Predictability on
Subseasonal Timescales |
|
|
9:20–9:40 |
Maier-Gerber et al. |
Statistical–Dynamical
Forecasting of North Atlantic TC Activity on the Subseasonal Time Scales |
|
|
9:40–10:00 |
Discussion |
|
|
Break (10:00–10:30 AM)
Session 14: Extratropical Cyclone Structure and Dynamics: Part II
(10:30 AM–12:10 PM)
Chair: Julian Quinting
|
Time |
Author(s) |
Title |
Presentation |
|
10:30–10:50 |
Li et al. |
||
|
10:50–11:10 |
Fu et al. |
Three Shapes of Upper-Level Potential Vorticity
Associated with Explosive Cyclones |
|
|
11:10–11:30 |
Portmann et al. |
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|
11:30–11:50 |
Schielicke et al. |
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|
11:50–12:10 |
Discussion |
|
|
Lunch (12:10–1:10 PM)
Session 15: Diabatic and Microphysical Processes in Extratropical
Cyclones: Part I (1:10–3:10 PM)
Chair: Hanin Binder
|
Time |
Author(s) |
Title |
Presentation |
|
1:10–1:30 |
Spreitzer et al. |
Modification
of the Near-Tropopause PV Structure by Diabatic Processes |
|
|
1:30–1:50 |
Büeler and Pfahl |
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|
1:50–2:10 |
Crespo et al. |
CYGNSS
Observations and Analysis of Surface Heat Fluxes in Low-Latitude
Extratropical Cyclones |
|
|
2:10–2:30 |
Michaelis et al. |
Role
of Latent Heating in AR Dynamics: Comparison of Two Events from February 2019 |
|
|
2:30–2:50 |
Fish et al. |
||
|
2:50–3:10 |
Discussion |
|
|
Break (3:10–3:30 PM)
Session 16: Tropical Cyclone Predictability: Part II (3:30–5:10
PM)
Chair: Rosimar Rios-Berrios
|
Time |
Author(s) |
Title |
Presentation |
|
3:30–3:50 |
Leonardo and Colle |
Physical
Processes Associated with Large Cross-Track Errors in North Atlantic TCs |
|
|
3:50–4:10 |
Di Muzio et al. |
Predictability
of Medicanes in the ECMWF Ensemble Forecast System |
|
|
4:10–4:30 |
Judt |
Cyclone
Prediction Across Scales with Global Storm Resolving Models |
|
|
4:30–4:50 |
Zibton and Morgan |
Evaluation
of Adjoint Response Functions for Tropical Cyclone Intensity |
|
|
4:50–5:10 |
Discussion |
|
|
Recreation (5:30–6:30 PM)
Dinner (6:30–8:00 PM)
Evening Session (8:00–10:00 PM)
Time
for Interactivity: Analysis of NWP data in 5D
Andrea Lang, Tim Hewson, Marc Rautenhaus
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Friday, 4
October 2019
Breakfast (7:00–8:00 AM)
Session 17: Diabatic and Microphysical Processes in Extratropical
Cyclones: Part II (8:00–10:00 AM)
Chair: Jeremy Berman
|
Time |
Author(s) |
Title |
Presentation |
|
8:00–8:20 |
Harvey and Methven |
Negative
PV in Warm Conveyor Belt Airstreams: Observations, Theory, and Models |
|
|
8:20–8:40 |
Grams |
The
Role of Cloud Diabatic Processes in the Life Cycle of Atlantic–European
Weather Regimes |
|
|
8:40–9:00 |
Mazoyer et al. |
||
|
9:00–9:20 |
Blanchard et al. |
||
|
9:20–9:40 |
Oertel et al. |
||
|
9:40–10:00 |
Discussion |
|
|
Break (10:00–10:30 AM)
Session 18: Extratropical Cyclone Structure and Dynamics: Part III
(10:30 AM–12:10 PM)
Chair: Melissa Breeden
|
Time |
Author(s) |
Title |
Presentation |
|
10:30–10:50 |
Abbott and Martin |
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|
10:50–11:10 |
Leicht and Bosart |
||
|
11:10–11:30 |
Priestley et al. |
The
Role of Secondary Cyclones and Cyclone Families for the North Atlantic Storm
Track |
|
|
11:30–11:50 |
Weijenborg and Spengler |
Can
Extratropical Cyclones Increase Baroclinicity? A Pathway to Cyclone
Clustering |
|
|
11:50–12:10 |
Discussion |
|
|
Lunch (12:10–1:10 PM)
End of Workshop