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Extratropical cyclones: |
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Vaughan and Fovell (2021),"The Influence of Boundary Layer Mixing Strength on the Evolution of a Baroclinic Cyclone ",
Mon. Wea. Rev., 149, 661-678.
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Model forecast evaluation: |
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Fovell and Capps (2025), "Sustained wind forecasts from the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh model: Skill assessment and bias mitigation", Atmosphere, 16, 16. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16010016
Fovell and Gallagher (2022),"An Evaluation of Surface Wind and Gust Forecasts from the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh Model", Wea. Forecasting, 37, 1049-1068.
Gallagher (2021),"Exploring Environmental and Methodological Sensitivities of Forecasted and Observed Surface Winds and Gusts Using Underutilized Datasets",
Ph.D. dissertation, Univ. at Albany
Fovell and Gallagher (2020), "Boundary Layer and Surface Verification of the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh, Version 3
", Wea. Forecasting, 35, 2255-2278.
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Cold pools and fog: |
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Wilson and Fovell (2018),"Modeling the Evolution and Life Cycle of Radiative Cold Pools and Fog", Wea. Forecasting, 33, 203-220.
Wilson and Fovell (2016),"Modeling the Evolution and Life Cycle of Stable Cold Pools", Wea. Forecasting, 31, 1753-1769.
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Santa Anas, Sundowners, winds, and gusts: |
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Fovell and Brewer (2024), "Sundowner winds at Montecito during the Sundowner Winds experiment", Atmosphere, 15, 810. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15070810
Brewer (2024), "Predictability of Downslope Windstorms and Mechanisms Controlling Their Onset, With a Focus on Role in Wildfires",
Ph.D. dissertation, Univ. at Albany
Carvalho, L. M. V., and co-authors (2024),"The Sundowner Winds Experiment (SWEX) in Santa Barbara, CA: Advancing understanding and predictability of downslope windstorms in coastal environments."
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105,E532-E538. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0171.1
Fovell, Brewer, and Garmong (2022), "The December 2021 Marshall Fire: Predictability and Gust Forecasts from Operational Models", Atmosphere, 13, 765. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13050765
Gutierrez, Porrini, and Fovell (2020), "Combination of wind gust models in convective events", J. Wind. Eng. Indust. Aerodyn., 199, 104118. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jweia.2020.104118
Duine et al (2019), "Simulating Sundowner winds in coastal Santa Barbara: Model validation and sensitivity
", Atmosphere, 10, 155. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos10030155
Fovell and Gallagher (2018), "Winds and gusts during the Thomas fire", Fire, 1, 47. https://doi.org/10.3390/fire1030047
Gutierrez and Fovell (2018), "A new gust parameterization for weather prediction models", J. Wind. Eng. Indust. Aerodyn., 177, 45-59. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jweia.2018.04.005
Cao and Fovell (2018),"Downslope Windstorms of San Diego County. Part II: Physics Ensemble
Analyses and Gust Forecasting", Wea. Forecasting., 33, 539-559. https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-17-0177.1
Fovell and Cao (2017),"The Santa Ana winds of Southern California: Winds, gusts, and the 2007 Witch fire", Wind and Structures, 24 (6), 529-564. https://doi.org/10.12989/was.2017.24.6.529
Cao and Fovell (2016),"Downslope windstorms of San Diego county. Part I: A case study", Mon. Wea. Rev., 144, 529-552. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-15-0147.1
Rolinski and co-authors (2016), "The Santa Ana Wildfire Threat index: Methodology and pperational implementation", Wea. Forecasting, 31, 1881-1897. https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-15-0141.1
Cao (2015), "The Santa Ana Winds of Southern California in the Context of Fire Weather",
Ph. D. dissertation, Univ. of California, Los Angeles
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Tropical cyclones: |
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Yu, Tang, and Fovell (2023b),"Tropical cyclone boundary layer asymmetries in a tilt-following perspective",
J. Atmos. Sci., 81, 1543-1563. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-23-0178.1
Yu, Tang, and Fovell (2023b),"Diverging behaviors of simulated tropical cyclones in moderate vertical wind shear",
J. Atmos. Sci., 80, 2837-2860. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-23-0048.1
Piersante, Corbosiero, and Fovell (2023),"Simulated diurnal pulses in Hurricane Dorian (2019)",
Mon. Wea. Rev., 151, 2869-2882. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-23-0049.1
Yu, Tang, and Fovell (2023),"Tropical cyclone tilt and precession in moderate shear: Precession hiatus in a critical shear regime",
J. Atmos. Sci., 80, 909-932. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-22-0200.1
Ditchek, Corbosiero, Fovell, and Molinari (2020), "Electrically active diurnal pulses in Hurricane Harvey (2017)",
Mon. Wea. Rev., 148, 2283-2305. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0022.1
Ditchek, Corbosiero, Fovell, and Molinari (2019), "Electrically active tropical cyclone diurnal pulses in the Atlantic Basin",
Mon. Wea. Rev., 147, 3595-3607. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-19-0129.1
Ditchek, Molinari, Corbosiero, and Fovell (2019), "An objective climatology of tropical cyclone diurnal pulses in the Atlantic Basin",
Mon. Wea. Rev., 147, 591-605. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-18-0368.1
Hsu, Kuo, and Fovell (2018), "On typhoon track deflections near the east coast of Taiwan",
Mon. Wea. Rev., 146, 1495-1510.
Bu, Fovell, and Corbosiero (2017), "The influences of boundary layer mixing and cloud-radiative forcing on tropical cyclone size",
J. Atmos. Sci., 74, 1273-1292.
Fovell and co-authors (2016),
"Influence of cloud microphysics and radiation on tropical cyclone structure and motion",
Meteor. Monog., 56, 11.1-11.27.
Direct link.
Wu and co-authors (2015),"Impact of environmental moisture on tropical cyclone intensification", Atmos. Chem. Phys., 15, 14041-14053. And supplement.
Bu, Fovell, and Corbosiero (2014), "Influence of cloud-radiative forcing on tropical cyclone structure",
J. Atmos. Sci., 71, 1644-1662.
Hsu, Kuo, and Fovell (2013), "On the geographic asymmetry of typhoon translation speed across the mountainous island of Taiwan",
J. Atmos. Sci., 70, 1006-1022.
Wu and co-authors (2012), "Relationship of environmental relative humidity with North Atlantic tropical cyclone intensity and intensification rate", GRL, 39,L20809.
Cao, Fovell, and Corbosiero (2011), "Tropical cyclone track and structure sensitivity to initialization in idealized
simulations: A preliminary study", TAO, 22, 559-578.
Fovell, Corbosiero, Seifert, and Liou(2010), "Impact of cloudâradiative processes on hurricane track", GRL, 37,L07808.
Fovell, Corbosiero, and Kuo (2009), "Cloud microphysics impact on hurricane track as revealed in idealized experiments",
J. Atmos. Sci., 66, 1764-1778.
Fovell and Su (2007), "Impact of cloud microphysics on hurricane track forecasts", GRL, 34,L24810.
Some older papers may be found here