245 
FXUS01 KWBC 130800
PMDSPD

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
400 AM EDT Tue Oct 13 2026

Valid 12Z Tue Oct 13 2026 - 12Z Thu Oct 15 2026

...Unsettled weather moves from the West into the Plains...

...Record breaking warmth set to wane later this week...

A closed low barreling towards the Four Corners will maintain cool
and wet weather for the next 48 hours along and west of the
Rockies. Meanwhile, the focus for showers and thunderstorms will
shift into the Heartland as the system and a ridge in the Gulf
funnel unstable air northward toward a slow-moving frontal
boundary. This pattern will support several days of heavy rainfall
and scattered flash flooding from the Corn Belt to the Texas Big
Bend, where storm total rainfall could exceed 2-4" of rain through
Thursday. Widely scattered severe thunderstorms capable of large
hail, damaging winds, and a tornado or two are also possible today
from Kansas City to Lubbock. Farther east, the front should be
more progressive, with a developing low pressure wave bringing
soaking rain and some elevation snowfall today in New England.  

Temperature-wise, unseasonable warmth will continue for a few more
days across the Midwest and Southeast where several daily record
highs could fall. This stands in stark contrast to the West, where
numerous first freezes are occurring this morning. By the end of
the workweek, however, fall-like weather will descend over much of
the Central U.S. as reinforcing cold air from Canada arrives and
accelerates the slow moving front southward. 

Asherman


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php






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