136 
FXUS01 KWBC 031934
PMDSPD

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
332 PM EDT Wed Jun 03 2026

Valid 00Z Thu Jun 04 2026 - 00Z Sat Jun 06 2026

...Showers and thunderstorms continue across much of the Plains
and Upper Midwest with heavy rain and severe weather concerns the
next few days...

...A large area of high pressure will keep most of the eastern
half of the country dry through the end of the week...

...Unseasonable warmth spreads from the Southwest and Upper
Midwest into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast Thursday into Friday...


A slow-moving frontal system tracking across the northern Plains
and Upper Midwest will keep the threat of showers and
thunderstorms in the forecast through the remainder of the week,
with concerns for heavy rain and severe weather to monitor. This
afternoon and evening, strong southerly flow will transport Gulf
moisture northward into the Plains and Upper Midwest. Strong
heating of this moist environment will create a highly unstable
air mass, setting the stage for the development of numerous
showers and thunderstorms. Some of these storms will have the
potential to become strong to severe, with damaging winds, large
hail, and a few tornadoes the primary hazards. The Storm
Prediction Center has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/5) from
northern Nebraska into the eastern Dakotas and far western
Minnesota to highlight this threat. Additionally, the rich
moisture in place will also foster concerns for heavy rainfall,
with slow-moving storms and intense rainfall rates having the
potential to produce scattered instances of flash flooding. As a
result, the Weather Prediction Center has issued a Slight Risk
(level 2/4) of excessive rainfall, with poor drainage and
low-lying areas the most vulnerable. Heavy rain and isolated to
scattered flash flooding will also be possible across parts of the
southern Plains this afternoon and evening as well. Looking ahead
to Thursday and Friday, similar areas will be at risk for
additional episodes of heavy rain and severe weather, with
concerns for damaging winds, large hail, isolated tornadoes, and
localized flash flooding.

Meanwhile, a sprawling area of high pressure will continue to
dominate the weather pattern across much of the
eastern half of the country through the end of the week. This will
result in dry, tranquil weather under partly to mostly sunny
skies. Temperatures this afternoon will mostly top out in the 70s
and 80s while humidity stays fairly comfortable. The pleasant
weather won't last long however, as hot and dry weather from the
Southwest expands eastward into the Upper Midwest before reaching
the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic Thursday into Friday. Temperatures
across the Southwest will climb well into the 80s and 90s, with
portions of the Desert Southwest soaring into the low to mid 100s.
Highs across the Upper Midwest will mostly be in the 80s. By late
week, highs in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic will rise well into
the 80s and 90s, along with a surge in humidity.


Miller


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php




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