627 
FXUS01 KWBC 232037
PMDSPD

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
436 PM EDT Sat May 23 2026

Valid 00Z Sun May 24 2026 - 00Z Tue May 26 2026

...There is a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms over
parts of the Southern High Plains and the Lower Mississippi Valley
on Saturday...

...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the
Ohio Valley and Central/Western Gulf Coast...

A quasi-stationary front extending from the Mid-Atlantic to the
Lower Mississippi Valley will help trigger showers and
thunderstorms from Texas to the Northeast through Monday morning.
Showers and severe thunderstorms will develop over parts of the
Southern High Plains. Therefore, the SPC has issued a Slight Risk
(level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms over parts of the Southern
High Plains through Sunday morning. The hazards associated with
these thunderstorms include frequent lightning, severe wind gusts,
hail, and the threat of tornadoes. Moreover, the SPC has issued a
second area of a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms
over parts of the Lower Mississippi Valley through Sunday morning.

In addition, the WPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of
excessive rainfall over parts of the Ohio Valley and the
Western/Central Gulf Coast through Sunday morning. The associated
heavy rain will cause mainly localized flash flooding, with urban
areas, roads, small streams, and low-lying areas being the most
vulnerable.

On Sunday, with part of the front lingering near the Central Gulf
Coast, the WPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive
rainfall over parts of the Lower Mississippi Valley. Likewise, the
associated heavy rain will cause mainly localized flash flooding,
with urban areas, roads, small streams, and low-lying areas being
the most vulnerable. Similarly, on Monday, as the front moves
eastward, the Slight Risk (level 2/4) area expands into parts of
the Tennessee Valley, Lower Mississippi Valley, and Southeast. 

On Monday, an approaching front will produce rain over parts of
the Northwest, expanding into parts of the Northern Intermountain
Region by Monday evening.


Ziegenfelder


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php




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