281 FXUS01 KWBC 121913 PMDSPD Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 312 PM EDT Fri Jun 12 2026 Valid 00Z Sat Jun 13 2026 - 00Z Mon Jun 15 2026 ...Strong to severe thunderstorms expected today in parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast... ...A cold front will bring strong to severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging winds, large hail, and numerous instances of flash flooding across the Plains and Mid-Mississippi on Saturday... ...Thunderstorms are forecast to move eastward into the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, and much of the South to end the weekend... ...Heat will begin to subside over the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast to begin the weekend, while the Southeast remains hot... An active end to the week is set to continue for much of the eastern portion of the country, as multiple frontal systems bring consecutive rounds of thunderstorms over the next few days. The leading cold front will continue moving through the Great Lakes, Midwest, and Southern Plains through the remainder of today, advancing steadily toward the East Coast this evening and overnight. This will result in strong to potentially severe thunderstorms this evening from the Mid-Atlantic to the Northeast, bringing a primary risk of damaging winds. As such, the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has outlined a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe weather for this area for the remainder of today. Elsewhere across the Southern High Plains, a stationary boundary is forecast to quickly lift northward. Concurrently, low-level moisture is expected to flow northward and converge with the frontal boundary, initiating strong to severe thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. Thunderstorms over the Southern High Plains will carry a risk of damaging winds and large hail. The SPC has outlined a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe weather for this region through tonight as well. On Saturday, a secondary and more potent cold front will propagate southeastward from the Northern Plains, reaching the Southern Plains by evening. This feature will intersect the southward-slumping warm front, establishing a strong low-level convergence zone within a warm, moist, and highly unstable airmass. This environment will support repeated rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms across the Kansas and Missouri border through the evening hours. Thunderstorms will bring a renewed potential for damaging winds and large hail, prompting the SPC to outline an Enhanced Risk (level 3/5) of severe weather. Additionally, heavy rainfall is expected, particularly over the Kansas City metropolitan area and its surroundings. Rainfall will have the potential to produce numerous instances of flash and urban flooding; consequently, a Moderate Risk (level 3/4) of excessive rainfall has been introduced for Saturday. To end the weekend, the cold front will continue its progression toward the East Coast and much of the South. Thunderstorms on Sunday are expected to recommence, bringing a threat of scattered flash flooding through parts of Texas and the Southern Plains. Elsewhere, a round of generally light rainfall is expected tonight into Saturday morning across Montana, associated with the secondary cold front. Monsoonal showers are forecast to emerge over the Four Corners and Southern Rockies later on Saturday. The Desert Southwest and the Central Valley of California will remain hot into the weekend, with highs in the 110s and 100s, respectively. Meanwhile, heat is forecast to build across the Pacific Northwest, with record-high temperatures potentially reaching into the 80s and lower 90s by Sunday afternoon. Farther east, hot conditions are expected to begin subsiding across much of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast on Saturday, while the South remains very warm throughout the weekend. Blanco-Alcala/Kong Graphics available at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php $$