Map Disco: 20 September
2013
Topic: Colorado Flooding
Year-to-Date
Rainfall Totals (Boulder, CO)
Comparing
wettest and driest years to 2013 (Valid: 15 Sept
2013) - Climate Center
Composites
(mean and anomaly): North America
300-hPa
geopotential height, 850-hPa geopotential height, 850-hPa
temperature, precipitable water (21 Aug - 10 Sept) - ESRL
GFS Analyses and Forecasts: North America
Synoptic
Overview (DT, Irro. wind/PW, MSLP/Jets, 500-hPa vort., 700-hPa
wind/PW, PW std. anomalies) (1 Sept - 18 Sept) - NCEP Operational Analysis
Synoptic
Overview (850-hPa T/winds, 700-hPa streamfunction and wind/PW,
Integrated Vapor Transport) (1 Sept - 18 Sept) - NCEP Operational Analysis
Radar Imagery
3-day
radar loop of Colorado, Utah, and Wyoming (0000 UTC 11 Sept -
0000 UTC 14 Sept) - UCAR
Four Fantastic Famous Flash Floods: Synoptic Setup
Rapid City, SD (10 June 1972)
300-hPa
geopotential heights
850-hPa
geopotential heights
Mean
Sea Level Pressure
Precipitable
water
Big Thompson Canyon, CO (1 August 1976)
300-hPa
geopotential heights
850-hPa
geopotential heights
1000-hPa
geopotential heights
Precipitable
water
Madison County, VA (27 June 1995)
300-hPa
geopotential heights
850-hPa
geopotential heights
1000-hPa
geopotential heights
Precipitable
water
Fort Collins, CO (29 July 1997)
300-hPa
geopotential heights
850-hPa
geopotential heights
1000-hPa
geopotential heights
Precipitable
water
Four
Fantastic Famous Flash Floods: Soundings
2013
Colorado Flood
(DNR - 0000
UTC 9/12/2013)
2013
Colorado Flood (DNR - 1200 UTC 9/12/2013)
2013
Colorado Flood (DNR
- 0000 UTC
9/13/2013)
2013
Colorado Flood
(DNR - 1200 UTC
9/13/2013)
Madison
County, VA, Flood (IAD - 1200 UTC 6/27/1995)
Fort
Collins, CO, Flood (DNR - 0000 UTC
7/29/1997)
Big
Thompson, CO, Flood (DNR - 0000 UTC 8/1/1976)
Rapid
City, SD, Flood (RAP - 0000 UTC 6/10/1972)
d(prog)/dt analyses:
d(prog)/dt
analysis (1200 UTC 11
Sept. - 1200 UTC 13 Sept.) - ECMWF
d(prog)/dt
analysis GFS - Kyle Griffin
Backward Trajectories (NOAA Hysplit
Model)
0000
UTC 11 September
(5000m, 2500m,
500m)
1200
UTC 11 September (3000m, 1500m, 500m)
0000
UTC 12 September (5000m,
2500m, 500m)
0000
UTC 12 September
(3000m, 1500m, 500m)
0000
UTC 12 September -
KDNR Sounding
1200
UTC 12 September (5000m, 2500m, 500m)
1200
UTC 12 September (3000m, 1500m, 500m)
0000
UTC 13 September (5000m, 2500m, 500m)
0000
UTC 13 September (3000m, 1500m, 500m)
1200
UTC 13 September (5000m, 2500m, 500m)
1200
UTC 13 September (3000m, 1500m, 500m)
Articles and Documentation
Colorado's
"biblical" flood by the numbers
Washington
Post - Capital Weather Gang
Flood
ravaged Boulder, CO, sets annual rainfall record KitsapSun
Inside
the Colorado deluge NCAR/UCAR -
Bob Henson
Against
the 100-year flood - Roger
Pielke, Jr.
Exceedance
Probability Analysis of the Colorado Flood Event, 9-16
September 2013
- HDSC/NWS/NOAA
Exceedance
Probability Analysis of the Colorado Flood Event, 9-16
September 2013 (Version 2) -
HDSC/NWS/NOAA
Products
Mesa Lab Conditions -
NCAR
North
Fork Big Thompson River at Drake
(11:30AM 15 Sept) - NOAA
South
Platte River near Kersey
(8:30AM 14 Sept) - NOAA
20th
Century Reanalysis Precipitable Water over
Colorado
- Gregory Carbin
SREF
analyses - Rich Grumm
Rich
Grumm Product Suite - Rich Grumm
Watches/Warnings
Issued - Iowa Environmental
Mesonet
Radar
Imagery - University of
Oklahoma
HRRR
Precipitation
PowerPoint
Presentation - Stan Benjamin
HRRR
15h Total Precip (in), MSLP (mb) (Valid: 0300
UTC 9/12/2013) - HRRR
HRRR
15h Total Precip (in), MSLP (mb) (Valid: 0900
UTC 9/12/2013) - HRRR
HRRR
15h Total Precip (in), MSLP (mb) (Valid: 1500
UTC 9/12/2013) - HRRR
HRRR
15h Total Precip (in), MSLP
(mb) (Valid:
2100 UTC 9/12/2013) - HRRR
Monthly
Precipitation
in Boulder, CO - NOAA ESRL
River
gauges and
observations - NOAA AHPS
1
day observed
precipitation (Valid: 1200 UTC 9/12/2013) - NOAA AHPS
12-h
rainfall map (Valid: 9:46PM 9/12/2013) - Jonathan Vigh
Boulder
Flood
Schematic (0000 UTC 9/12/2013) - Sheldon Kusselson
Percent
of Normal
Precipitation
(zoomed in) (9/6/2013 - 9/12/2013) - Regional Climate
Centers
Percent
of Normal
Precipitation
(zoomed out) (9/6/2013 - 9/12/2013) - Regional Climate
Centers
Radar
Estimated
Precipitation
(72 h
accumulation) (Valid: 1200 UTC 9/13/2013) - Q3
1948-2012
Denver
Surface-300
hPa
Precipitable
Water - Max, Min, Percentiles
7-day
Precipitation
(Colorado) (Valid: 1200 UTC 9/13/2013) - NOAA
48-h
precipitation
(Tennessee
Valley Flood
May 2010) (Valid: 1200 UTC 10/5/2013) - Colorado State
12-h
precipitation
(Colorado
Flood 2013) (Valid: 1200 UTC 9/12/2013) - Colorado State
48-h
precipitation
(Colorado
Flood 2013) (Valid: 1200 UTC 9/12/2013) - Colorado State
ECMWF
"Extreme
Forecast
Index" for 1-3
day
precipitation (Valid: 0000 UTC 9/11/2013) - GEFS
GEFS
"Extreme
Forecast
Index" for 1-5
day
precipitation (Valid: 0000 UTC 9/10/2013) - ECMWF
"Colorado
Flood: A few
images and
thoughts" - Rich
Grumm
HRRR
convective
probability
forecast
-
(Valid: 2300
UTC 9/19/2013)
- HRRR
Photos and Video
(Video)
Crestview Elementary Flooding (13 Sept) - Mohan Ramamurthy
Bear
Creek Flooding - Howie
Bluestein
South
Platte River near Weldona
(2:45PM 14 Sept) - Edward Szoke
Wagon
Wheel Bunkhouse (before and after)
- Gregory Carbin
"Hawthorne
from Goat Trail" - Photo taken by
Dan Brillon
"Just
off of Linden" - Photo taken by Dan Brillon
"Looking
up Hawthorne from 6th" - Photo taken by Dan Brillon
Mitchell
Lane - Jonathan Vigh
Mitchel
Lane 2 - Jonathan Vigh
Big
Thompson Canyon Mouth - Jonathan Vigh
1976
- Big Thompson Canyon Mouth - Jonathan Vigh
I-25
at Big Thompson - Jonathan Vigh
(Video)
Areal tour of Fort Collins and Loveland Floods - Coloradoan.com
References
Moore,
Benjamin J., Lance F. Bosart, Daniel Keyser, Michael L.
Jurewicz, 2013: Synoptic-Scale Environments of Predecessor
Rain Events Occurring East of the Rocky Mountains in
Association with Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones*. Mon.
Wea. Rev., 141, 1022–1047.
Moore,
Benjamin J., Paul J. Neiman, F. Martin Ralph, Faye E.
Barthold, 2012: Physical Processes Associated with Heavy
Flooding Rainfall in Nashville, Tennessee, and Vicinity
during 1–2 May 2010: The Role of an Atmospheric River and
Mesoscale Convective Systems*. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140,
358–378.
Rasmussen,
Kristen L., Robert A. Houze, 2012: A Flash-Flooding Storm at
the Steep Edge of High Terrain: Disaster in the Himalayas. Bull.
Amer. Meteor. Soc., 93, 1713–1724.
Pontrelli,
Michael D., George Bryan, J. M. Fritsch, 1999: The Madison
County, Virginia, Flash Flood of 27 June 1995. Wea.
Forecasting, 14, 384–404.
Caracena,
Fernando, Robert A. Maddox, L. Ray Hoxit, Charles F.
Chappell, 1979: Mesoanalysis of the Big Thompson Storm. Mon.
Wea. Rev., 107, 1–17.
Maddox,
Robert A., Lee R. Hoxit, Charles F. Chappell, Fernando
Caracena, 1978: Comparison of Meteorological Aspects of the
Big Thompson and Rapid City Flash Floods. Mon. Wea. Rev.,
106, 375–389.
Weaver,
John D., Eve Gruntfest, Glenn M. Levy, 2000: Two Floods in
Fort Collinds, Colorado: Learning from a Natural Disaster.
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 81, 2359–2366.
Real-time Analyses and Other Products:
SPC
Meso Archive
National
Snow Analyses - NOHRSC
World
Climate Index Map
Mike
Ventrice's TRMM Precipitation / MJO Filtered VP200 hPa / 200 hPa
Winds
Wyoming
Sounding Page
Twister
Data
National
Buoy Data Center
Storm
Prediction Center Meso-analysis
Penn State's
EWALL Model Page
High
Resolution Rapid Refresh Home Page
Kyle
Griffin's Maps: Main Page
Ron-Mctaggart
Cowan's DT Maps and Coupling Index
Heather
Archambault's 2013 GFS Analyses
Tom
Galarneau's Real Time Diagnostics
RAP-UCAR
Real-Time Weather Data
Digital
Typhoon - Typhoon Images and Information
PSD
Maproom - ESRL
NeXt
Generation Weather Lab - College of DuPage
Free
Relief Maps
Modis Satellite
Imagery World Viewer