Data Products

1. Statistical estimation of future temperature anomalies
• A first order approximation was made to estimate the elelvation-dependent warming rates for the Hawaiian Islands. The downscaled temperature changes are based on  the multi-model ensemble CMIP5 scenarios RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 and using information about the regional temperature change pattern from a regional climate model simulation. The results include the expected temperature change maps for the ensemble mean, and lower and upper limit range. Gridded data set are available for the mid (2040-2069 time average) and late (2070-2099 time average) 21st century. Data are in netCDF format with a horizontal resolution of 100m x 100m. The data can be downloaded  here (Zip files ~100MB, uncompressed 1GB). A paper with details on the method and results has been submitted and is currently under review.
• There are two versions. Version 1 was based on a different set of CMIP5 models for RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. In version 1.1 the same models were used in RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. 
  Furthermore version 1.1 includes updates in the calculation of the ensemble variance and error propagation. In order to allow for comparisons with the first version I provide here both data sets. The files are zip files with netcdf data. PDF figures showing the data as color-shaded maps for Hawaii. Link to downscaled temperature changes:
• Version 1.1 (preferred version)
• Version 1  (This version is compatible with the shape/raster files Lucas Fortini has produced  earlier in 2016)
2. Statistically Downscaled Seasonal Rainfall Anomalies – Hawaiian Islands (SDSRA-HI)
• Summer 2016 update: We detected an error in the code that generated the previously published dry season rainfall scenarios! The updated dry season results are now available at the APDRC (for interactive access and visualization try LAS8 (organized under model data), or DCHART following the link from the main project page). 
  Please refer to this updated data product as SDSRA-HI V2 (Version 2). 
  Note that the wet season results were not affected by the error.
• Link to data product SDSRA-HI-V2  (ZIP archive)
• Further information can be found in this PDF document.
• Data can be accessed at the Asia-Pacific Data Research Center.
  A short description of the methods and the data results can be found on the
  statistical downscaling project page. Details of the methods and a full
  discussion of the results can be found in Elison Timm et al.(2015).
  [The corrections were integrated into the online version and PDF version in August 2016]
• The new data package  is stored also on the  data servers of the  USGS National Climate Change and Wildlife Science Center (NCCWS). Please visit the project page here. Check for updates. The new data product is labelled 'SDSRA-HI-V2'. 
• The originally posted SDSRA-HI data set is/was available for downloaded as a ZIP file (includes NetCDF, GeoTIFF raster files and GIS-shape files).
  
3. Transient simluation of the last 21,000 years using the Earth System Model of Intermediate Complexity LOVECLIM
• A number of transient climate modeling simulations done by the paleoclimate research
  group of Axel Timmermanare are hosted at the APDRC. Visit the paleoclimate modeling project page for an overview. Note: The transient simulation from the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) to preindustrial times still used the model version called "ECBilt-CLIO" (link to data).
4. Reconstructed North Atlantic Oscillation Index
• Reconstruction of the wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index with focus on
  the decadal and multidecadal variability 1700-1978. Details of the data and methods
  are described in Timm et al. (2004) The data can be downloaded at NOAA's
  National Climatic Data Center noaa-recon-6287.