DAES Contest Consensus, Entry, and Verification Viewer

City: Washington (Dulles), VA (KIAD)

VERIFICATION TABLE - 4/28/2023

PERIOD TEMP PRECIP POP .01 P-CAT
1 - FRI NIGHT 51 0.19" 100% 3
2 - SAT 67 Trace 0% 9
3 - SAT NIGHT 59 0.36" 100% 4
4 - SUN 65 0.67" 100% 5
P-Cat of 9 Denotes Trace (Verifies 0/1 P-Cat Forecasts) Go Back to Contest Page

COMPLETE CONSENSUS TABLE - 4/28/2023

PERIOD TEMP POP .01 P-CAT
1 - FRI NIGHT 53 10 4
2 - SAT 69 2 1
3 - SAT NIGHT 55 5 2
4 - SUN 68 8 4

CONSENSUS FOR PERIOD 1 - FRI NIGHT

FORECASTER TEMP POP .01 P-CAT
CONSENSUS 53 10 4
(9) 51/54 9/10 2/5
*GFS*† 50 9
*NWS* 54 9
John Farash 54 10 5
Daniel Howard 53 10 5
Alex Kramer 54 10 3
Ross Lazear 52 9 2
Declan Moynihan 53 10 5
Matthew Palladino 51 10 4
Selena Ramos 53 9 3
Tianyu Zhu 53 9 5

CONSENSUS FOR PERIOD 2 - SAT

FORECASTER TEMP POP .01 P-CAT
CONSENSUS 69 2 1
(9) 66/71 1/3 0/2
*GFS*† 70 3
*NWS* 70 2
John Farash 66 1 1
Daniel Howard 68 1 1
Alex Kramer 70 2 1
Ross Lazear 70 2 1
Declan Moynihan 71 3 1
Matthew Palladino 70 2 2
Selena Ramos 69 2 0
Tianyu Zhu 70 2 0

CONSENSUS FOR PERIOD 3 - SAT NIGHT

FORECASTER TEMP POP .01 P-CAT
CONSENSUS 55 5 2
(9) 53/57 1/7 0/3
*GFS*† 56 8
*NWS* 54 5
John Farash 56 5 2
Daniel Howard 55 3 2
Alex Kramer 57 7 2
Ross Lazear 56 7 3
Declan Moynihan 53 1 0
Matthew Palladino 56 6 2
Selena Ramos 54 5 2
Tianyu Zhu 53 5 2

CONSENSUS FOR PERIOD 4 - SUN

FORECASTER TEMP POP .01 P-CAT
CONSENSUS 68 8 4
(9) 66/71 0/10 0/5
*GFS*† 70 9
*NWS* 67 10
John Farash 69 10 5
Daniel Howard 71 8 4
Alex Kramer 67 10 5
Ross Lazear 69 10 5
Declan Moynihan 66 0 0
Matthew Palladino 69 8 3
Selena Ramos 66 9 4
Tianyu Zhu 66 10 5
† Not used in Consensus Calculation * denotes Corrected Go Back to Contest Page