ATM 601 Class Project:  Part II

 

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Part I  Part III

 

       To investigate South American cold air outbreaks, time series of 00Z 925-mb temperature at eight different South American locations were computed from the ECMWF ERA-40 dataset for the period 1 January 1980 through 31 December 1999.  The eight locations are just east of the Andes mountain range and were picked to be in the path of typical cold air outbreaks that surge equatorward along the eastern side of the Andes.

 

       A large map of South America with topography can be found here. 

 

       The top 20 coldest dates at 0°, 75°W (defined by the 00Z 925-mb temperature) are listed in this table.

 

 

1.  Temporal Distribution

 

       The monthly distribution of cold air outbreaks (defined as the top 100 coldest 925-mb temperatures at 00Z) for the eight different South American locations can be accessed in the table below.

 

 

           Monthly Distribution of Cold Air Outbreaks

5°N, 70°W

15°S, 65°W

0°, 75°W

20°S, 62.5°W

5°S, 75°W

25°S, 62.5°W

10°S, 72.5°W

30°S, 62.5°W

 

2.  Case Study of a Summertime Cold Air Outbreak

 

       Click here for a look at the 21 December 1980 cold air outbreak that occurred at 15°S, 65°W (see 15°S, 65°W histogram).

 

 

3.  Stability Distribution

 

       The distribution of 925–700-mb temperature differences during cold air outbreaks (same definition as above) for the eight South American locations can be accessed below. 

 

       (Note:  The dry-adiabatic 925–700-mb temperature difference is 21°C.)

 

 

         Distribution of 925–700-mb Temperature Differences

      For Top 100 Cold Air Outbreaks

5°N, 70°W

15°S, 65°W

0°, 75°W

20°S, 62.5°W

5°S, 75°W

25°S, 62.5°W

10°S, 72.5°W

30°S, 62.5°W

 

      

      

       The 20 most and least stable cold air outbreaks (defined as the most and least negative 925–700-mb temperature differences, respectively, associated with top cold air outbreaks) for different South American locations are listed below.

 

         20 Most Stable Cold Air Outbreaks (out of 100)

5°N, 70°W

15°S, 65°W

0°, 75°W

20°S, 62.5°W

5°S, 75°W

25°S, 62.5°W

10°S, 72.5°W

30°S, 62.5°W

 

        20 Least Stable Cold Air Outbreaks (out of 100)

5°N, 70°W

15°S, 65°W

0°, 75°W

20°S, 62.5°W

5°S, 75°W

25°S, 62.5°W

10°S, 72.5°W

30°S, 62.5°W

 

 

 

4.  Summary Charts

 

 

Some statistical summary charts for the eight South American locations can be found below:

 

       Sea level pressure:                                   Mean and median         Standard deviation

       925-mb temperature:                                Mean and median         Standard deviation

       925–700-mb temperature difference:     Mean and median         Standard deviation